NO RB in Draft was right decision -- but could be team's undoing
Running back?
Running back?
That was my initial reaction when it became known that the Bengals were looking early in the 2008 NFL Draft for a running back. Then Chris Perry and Rudi Johnson stepped up their off-season conditioning and rehab impressing Lewis enough to forgo the position addressing other needs. If that wait-and-see scenario, a best case scenario, fulfills the team's basic re-designation of successful rushing to off-set the terrible degradation the past two seasons, then perhaps a hope, prayer and a wait-and-see approach will benefit the team in the long run. Consider for an instant that if the Bengals went running back early, then they'd not have Keith Rivers or Pat Sims -- two guys this team desperately needs. One or the other, but not both. Then again, perhaps the team could have used the second pick for a running back rather than receiver. To be honest, the Bengals used their first three picks well. I haven't a qualm in the world about any of them.
Since 2003, Marvin Lewis has drafted two running backs -- three if you count Jeremi Johnson. Chris Perry and Kenny Irons have spent considerable amount of time off the field with injuries. Serious injuries. In four seasons, Perry has played in 34% out of a possible 64 games. Other than 2005, Perry's career-high of games played in a single-season is six (2006). Between Irons and Perry, neither took a single snap in 2007.
Rudi Johnson gutted out a bad hamstring and ineffective line blocking all season -- he just couldn't do it. It was around this time that Kenny Watson started to blossom and fans became excited about what DeDe Dorsey could string together. It was almost like Watson replaced Rudi as the feature back and Dorsey, when given the chance (which wasn't much) took the role of third-down back as best as we could expect. But that's what happens to a team that finishes 7-9.
We know that Perry is recovering well and has "impressed" the head coach. Same for Rudi. It's generally believed that Kenny Irons won't be ready for the season likely placed on PUP for the first six weeks of the season. And it's unknown if he'll be ready even then. Watson will be in the mix bringing us to three running backs to start the season. If the team keeps Dorsey -- for some reason, I've never really felt that the team has been impressed with him enough to utilize him fully -- the Bengals would likely be set with Jeremi Johnson rounding out the group.
But this is why I call it a hope-and-prayer, or wait-and-see, scenario. Perry has come into seasons healthy before. Yet, he falls eventually. Running backs degrade so quickly in the NFL that not a great many people think that Rudi will return to old form. Watson is serviceable, but he's hardly the league's premier back and Dorsey is a small scat back that's best used on third downs -- screen passes, dumps, draws, etc...
In the end, I believe the Bengals are right to give this cast of running backs one more chance. But in the end, it could also be the team's undoing. And for the love of god, don't sign Shaun Alexander.
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Alexander
Alexander would certainly be a popular “hometown” pick. Whether the Bengals pursue him has a lot to do with $$$. Alexander is an aging RB coming off an injury plagued season. In other words, he is Rudi Johnson. So if we sign Alexander we go from having one RB that is damaged goods and commands a nice salary to having two RBs that are damaged goods and command a nice salary. If Alexander is willing to take a big pay cut however…..
The only way I see it happening is if it becomes patently obvious relatively early that Perry and/or Rudi are nowhere near up to speed. And even then, we’d likely go for a journeyman like Dominic Rhodes—he is’t great, but at least he is healthy and could probably be acquired on the cheap.
by goffchile on
Apr 30, 2008 10:34 AM EDT
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RE: Pay cut
Even if Alexander took a pay cut, then many other teams would be in the fold—thus he’d up his asking price with the demand.
I just don’t see the Bengals going after an established free agent running back. If it was that much of a concern, they’d have drafted a RB. But they’ve surprised me before.
Blogger at CincyJungle.com
by Kirkendall on
Apr 30, 2008 10:37 AM EDT
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Alexander is no answer
It would be a nice feel good story, kind of like bringing Junior to the Reds except Junior was thought to be in his prime when he signed and Alexander is so obviously past his. I’ve never thought Rudi was anything more than steady. He’s never gonna break a long one, rarely gonna make anyone miss, good for those five or six yard plunges that add up only if you do it thirty-five times a game- which is excruciating to watch, and, usually, good at holding onto the ball.
Honestly, though, unless we get some significant improvement from Ghiaciuc in specific and the middle of the line in general, it’s not really gonna matter who we have back there. Teams will continue playing seven in the box while still pinning their ears back to go after Carson on second and third and longs.
I think, if we need to pick up a back, there will be plenty out there jettisoned from other rosters to choose from over the summer. Conversely, we could trade Chad for a pick and a solid back but we’d have to do that before we knew whether having even Barry Sanders back there would make one bit of difference to our abysmal running game.
As much as Marvin may crow about getting back to the in your face, power rushing game, right now, our O-Line isn’t capable of getting in anyone’s face, built as they are to protect Carson.
by IgnatiusJReilly on
Apr 30, 2008 10:52 AM EDT
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Possibilities
I don’t count on Rudi to be effective. I don’t count on Perry to be healthy…EVER. I don’t count on Watson to be the answer. If the Bengals sign Alexander, they might as well go out and sign Ahman Green, plus try and talk Priest Holmes out of retirement. You get what I’m saying. Nobody has talked about Rhodes’s substance abuse anytime recently, but if Cincinnati signs him, you can bet that they will dredge all that back up.
At the end of the day, I still think we should have picked a RB sometime in the later rounds, perhaps see if Utecht is worth all that coin before we spend a pick on a TE out of Villanova. No knock on Matt Sherry, but I just think we needed to pull another RB out of the pool before we needed another TE.
by TheWalrus1971 on
Apr 30, 2008 11:13 AM EDT
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Maybe
A diamond in the rough during CFA signings?
Blogger at CincyJungle.com
by Kirkendall on
Apr 30, 2008 11:41 AM EDT
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none reported yet
So far, none of the reported CFA signings have been RBs. I think it’s been clear since the release of Quincy Wilson earlier in the year that the Bengals are pretty comfortable with the quartet of Rudi, Perry, Watson and DeDe. Otherwise they’d be adding, not subtracting, guys. Certainly, there’s an element of the same wishin-hopin’-prayin’ the Bengals always seem to do every offseason, but there’s no reason to believe Perry isn’t fully recovered by now (assuming the injury didn’t take anything away permanently), and Rudi’s dings were hardly career-threatening.
Even if we get into camp and it becomes clear that Rudi and/or Perry is done, there will still be plenty of time to sort between FAs and post-June-1 cuts. RB is probably the easiest position to find a quick-and-dirty replacement.
by BeerRun on
Apr 30, 2008 12:13 PM EDT
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Or...
We could always bring Corey Dillon back. ;-D
Blogger at CincyJungle.com
by Kirkendall on
Apr 30, 2008 12:58 PM EDT
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HA!
Let’s just go get Carl Pickens out of moth balls while we’re at it!
by TheWalrus1971 on
Apr 30, 2008 1:05 PM EDT
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Seriously, though...
Is this a flawed analogy, or does anybody else think about how John Elway didn’t get to hoist the Lombardi through the confetti-laced air until he had Terrell Davis? Carson Palmer is every bit as good of a QB (better, actually, IMHO) as Elway, but none of these RBs we have are Terrell Davis!
Again, I say, Weird Al now has Justin Fargas, Darren McFadden, Lamont Jordan (whose days as a Raider are probably numbered) and Michael Bush. Friends, if Michael Bush got the playing time, suddenly you’d hear folks like John Clayton talking about how Michael is actually a better pro than Reggie (which I was predicting before the leg-break anyhow) and you’d see Cincinnati go from divisional also-ran to playoff contender overnight.
The Bengals did a LOT in the offseason to help their defense. If they can’t run the ball, though, they just won’t win.
by TheWalrus1971 on
Apr 30, 2008 1:13 PM EDT
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Oh, and...
...Marvin can do all the talking in the world about what he hopes for Chris Perry, but…I mean, he can hope in one hand and…well, y’know… ;-)
by TheWalrus1971 on
Apr 30, 2008 1:17 PM EDT
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The general consensus appears to be no Alexander, and I agree. We don’t need two old, slow RBs. I would much rather have Watson, than Alexander.
Also, Perry broke his leg in Nov. ‘06. That’s a long time ago, so I am optimistic about him, but I think he’s the prime example of why you shouldn’t draft RBs that have had multiple 300 carry seasons in college (e.g. Rice, Hart and Kevin Smith), they are damaged goods.
by R.F. Mehl on
Apr 30, 2008 1:59 PM EDT
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Oh...
I should have started a poll.
Blogger at CincyJungle.com
by Kirkendall on
Apr 30, 2008 2:43 PM EDT
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Ha
Poll started.
Blogger at CincyJungle.com
by Kirkendall on
Apr 30, 2008 2:48 PM EDT
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Woulda, Coulda,
Shoulda traded Chad to the Skins and picked up Chris Johnson.;)
Okay, seriously, at this point I’d like to just clean house. Goodbye Rudi, Chris, Dede, Kenny W., and hurry up and get your knee rehabbed Kenny, so we can see if you need to go, too. Take Chad’s worthless ass and trade him to, who, maybe Dallas for either Marion Barber III or Felix Jones, maybe Atlanta for Michael Turner, shit, trade him to Al Davis for Run DMC. If we can teach the O-Line to run block, we can probably find a Ryan Grant like the Pack did last year.
by IgnatiusJReilly on
Apr 30, 2008 6:17 PM EDT
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