Bengals can earn the 3rd seed, even if Pats win

by imike29 on Dec 29, 2009 10:22 AM EST

Based on the outcomes of a few games this weekend, it would be possible for the Bengals V. Jets game to be meaningful for Cincinnati, even if the Pats win.

Right now the Pats hold the Strength of Victory tiebreaker. The Pats are 65-85, the Bengals 61-89. If the entire AFC North wins this weekend, and the Pats beat the Texans, the standings would look like this: Cincinnati 75-97, New England 74-96. Since Chicago is playing Detroit, and Atlanta is playing TB, both teams will go 1-1 in those game. Cincinnati 76-98, NE 75-97.

That means these following games could decide the 3rd seed (should the AFC North and NE win).

Green Bay @ Arizona

Kansas City @ Denver

Indy @ Buffalo (counts 2x)

Tennessee @ Seattle

New Orleans @ Carolina

If in those games, 4 of them go the Bengals way (bold teams), they will win the tiebreaker over NE and will capture the 3rd seed. They won't have a 2nd round game against Indy, and they would host NE in the Championship game should both make it. A lot might be on the line Sunday Night, even if NE wins.

*If the whole AFC North doesn't win, or only three of the above games go the Bengals way, and they tie the Pats in SoV, the next tiebreaker is Strength of Schedule and NE will win that.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors.

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Comments

Great post

by jim0ijk on Dec 29, 2009 1:49 PM EST reply actions

I was thinking along the same lines wondering if we could lock in the #3

… even with a loss. See my post right after yours.

by rvsp66 on Dec 29, 2009 2:13 PM EST reply actions

really?

two are gimmes (kinda) Indy and NO… if they play folk… Seattle could beat Tennessee, but who knows.
KC over Denver? Given the last couple weeks, maybe.
GB over Arizona? Maybe.

huh, neat.

Gnight, Slim

by supergrover on Dec 30, 2009 8:03 AM EST reply actions

GB will beat Arizona

KC loses to Denver probably. Seattle has NO chance of beating Tenn. They’re just that bad. The best chance is that the Pats lose a tough road game to a hungry Texans team. Andre Johnson will own Pats secondary.

by WhoDeyDerek on Dec 30, 2009 2:03 PM EST reply actions

Yahoo's playoff scenario generator

does not agree with you.

by occams_tiger_teeth on Dec 30, 2009 2:57 PM EST reply actions

Well, you can get out a piece of paper

Find out who the Bengals and Pats have defeated, add up their records and figure the above scenario. You will find that I am right. However, you decided to take the easy way out and use somebody else’s projections as your facts. To bad……

by imike29 on Dec 30, 2009 8:19 PM EST up reply actions

I am not getting into this one..

but you (imike29) are the first and only person discussing it this way. Either you are way ahead of everyone else out there doing playoff scenario’s or you are just plain wrong. On numbers alone I would suggest you might be wrong, just because not a single other publication has mentioned this exists as a possibility.

by 80%OFTHETIMEIMRIGHTEVERYTIME on Dec 30, 2009 8:58 PM EST up reply actions

Ehh..

I’ll eat some of my words here..

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2009/12/28/patriots-dont-necessarily-clinch-third-seed-with-win/

by 80%OFTHETIMEIMRIGHTEVERYTIME on Dec 30, 2009 9:30 PM EST up reply actions

Again!

It is not rocket science!

Get out a piece of paper, write down the records of all the teams the Bengals have beaten, then the Pats. Add them up! Then, figure out what would happen if everyone in the AFC North won, the Pats won, and the combination I had outlined above won.

Heck, I even did all the math for you up there!

But again, I guess it is easier for you to say I am wrong (because you have not read it any place else) than to just figure it out for yourself.

Some of your words you’ll eat?!

by imike29 on Dec 31, 2009 3:44 PM EST reply actions

Dude, that is what he just said before you posted this.

by WHYUS!! on Dec 31, 2009 5:43 PM EST up reply actions

Instead of correcting his mistake........

QUOTE: “but you (imike29) are the first and only person discussing it this way” AND “Either you are way ahead of everyone else out there doing playoff scenario’s or you are just plain wrong” AND “On numbers alone I would suggest you might be wrong”

Then he finds something that shows him he is wrong, and he posts “I’ll eat some of my words here.”

How about eating all of your words and admitting to your mistake!

At least say something like, “thank you for calling this to my attention.”

He says I am wrong, yet when he finds out he is all I get is, I’ll eat SOME of my words!

by imike29 on Dec 31, 2009 9:57 PM EST reply actions