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Bengals Offense Has Gone Three-And-Out 19.4% Of The Time This Year

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In a recent NFL.com piece that talks about how the Bengals might actually have a brighter future without Chad Ochocinco and Terrell Owens (check it out), Elliot Harrison charts the league's worst teams for three-and-outs this year. Predictably, the Carolina Panthers have gone three-and-out in 30.4% of their possessions, marking them the worst in the league. Now you're asking, where do the Bengals compare -- of course you are because that was my first thought. So I pulled every Game Book this season, fired up Excel and charted every possession by the Bengals offense (and defense) this season.

Of 180 possessions by the Bengals offense, the Bengals have gone three-and-out on 19.4% of their offensive possessions this year. Additionally, the offense hasn't gone three-and-out more than twice in the past four games and they've gone three-and-out at least five times in three games (Baltimore, Miami, NY Jets). The Bengals have also recorded 24 drives in which they posted 10 plays or more, and eight drives that spanned 80 yards or more. The Bengals have crossed midfield 53% of their 180 offensive possessions. And when they crossed midfield, the Bengals offense scored a touchdown 32.3% of the time and scored at least a field goal 57.3% of the times they crossed midfield. In other words, when you see the Bengals cross midfield, there's a 33% that they'll score a touchdown and nearly a 60% chance that they'll score at least a field goal.

Alternatively, the defense has forced a three-and-out on 22.8% of opposing offensive possessions and allowed teams to score a touchdown 37.6% of the time an opposing offense crosses midfield. The Bengals defense has allowed at least one 80-yard drive in the past four games and in only six games this season did the opposing offense not post multiple drives of 10 plays or more.

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fired up Excel and charted every possession by the Bengals offense (and defense) this season.

That had to be time consuming.

by JamesShively on Dec 29, 2010 2:58 PM EST reply actions  

RE:

Nothing is time consuming for my readers!

Managing Editor at CincyJungle.com -- SB Nation Cincinnati Bengals blog.

by Josh Kirkendall on Dec 29, 2010 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Wow

Your good at math along with writing, eh! :) This post was interesting Josh.

by WHYUS!! on Dec 29, 2010 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I can also ride a unicycle

:)

Managing Editor at CincyJungle.com -- SB Nation Cincinnati Bengals blog.

by Josh Kirkendall on Dec 29, 2010 3:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Can you do math while riding a unicycle?

NIce work.

It must be inordinately taxing to be such a boob. ~ The Brain

by jim0ijk on Dec 29, 2010 4:27 PM EST up reply actions  

3 and out 36 times out of 180?

That must be a hell of a lot better than last season.

Joe Reedy: "Supposedly Marvin could not find his flag to challenge the call. I am not kidding. #bengals"

by Doc Scratch on Dec 29, 2010 3:58 PM EST reply actions  

Nice work Josh!

I’m impressed by the legwork on this article! Pretty interesting stuff. Say, could you do the same thing for every other team in the NFL? That would really help me put this into perspective

by The Dealio on Dec 29, 2010 6:15 PM EST reply actions  

BTW

I’m kidding, Please don’t do that. Way too much work!

by The Dealio on Dec 29, 2010 6:15 PM EST up reply actions  

No it isn't

He’s got excel and can ride a unicycle…lol

by WHYUS!! on Dec 29, 2010 8:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Some old numbers

My Google Fu found this ESPN blog post from December 10. Obviously a few games have been played since then, but it gives you an idea of what is high or low. Believe it or not, at the time, the Bengals ranked 11th at 21.4%, a notch behind Baltimore and in front of New England. Jacksonville was first at 7.3%, with Houston a far second at 17.6%.

by LooseCannon on Dec 30, 2010 12:02 PM EST up reply actions  

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