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[Bengals Training Camp Preview] Passing Offense Rebuilding Project Pieces Are Set

The writers at Cincy Jungle are working overtime right now putting together the most comprehensive analysis previewing this year's training camp. Our work will be sporadic early and leading up to Bengals Training Camp Preview Week; the week that Training Camp kicks off. Keep coming back.

One of the final words I wrote when the team's playoff run ended last season:

I'm not sure if the problem with the team's passing game this year is the quarterback, or the talent around him. Either way, this team needs to focus on getting the passing game off the ground again.

The season had just ended, leaving a sour taste in our mouths as if realizing too late that the milk in the refrigerator probably should have been thrown out... like three weeks ago. Even though a large part of the blame was levied on Shayne Graham like a falling piano in a hilariously overused Looney Tunes skit, the Bengals passing game did struggle. After winning seven of their first nine games of the season, Carson Palmer recorded just one 300-yard passing performance with three 200-yard games in a seven-game stretch where the Bengals finished the season with a momentum killing 3-4 record with Palmer's touchdown-interception ratio being a meager seven-six. Against the Vikings, Palmer recorded 94 yards passing and in the regular season finale, Palmer recorded as many completions (1) as he did interceptions (1) against the New York Jets during a frozen and windy January night. When the playoffs came around, when the Bengals needed the art of a finesse passing offense with a 14-point deficit heading into the fourth quarter, abandonment issues arose like the Kraken; very noticeable and very unwelcome. Completing only 18 of 36 passes, Palmer averaged 4.06 yards per passing attempt with an un-elite-like 58.3 passer rating.

Some questioned if Palmer's arm wasn't hurt. Maybe his elbow wasn't fully healed. Save for 2008 when he missed 12 games, Palmer's efficiency (60.5%) turned into personal low. Recording an 83.6 passer rating, his lowest since his rookie year, Palmer's touchdown percentage was a respectable, though very middle-of-the-road, 4.5% and his interception percentage (2.8%) was lower than his Pro Bowl seasons in 2005 and 2006.

Through the glorious Football Outsiders' statistical analysis, Palmer never breached the top-ten in DYAR, DVOA or even VOA. Pro Football Focus ranked him 13th. Outside influences, such as pass protection and receiver (lack of) help pushed aside for a moment, Palmer's numbers for the season weren't dreadful; nor were they respectable enough to be discussed amongst the best in the league.

Through all of that, it's fairly obvious that you'll draw the same conclusions as did I. Carson Palmer is only but a portion of the team's need to rebuild the passing offense. There's more to it. Let's examine the parts of the whole.

Star-divide

First and foremost is the obvious. After recording 1,520 net yards rushing in 2008, which translated into a 3.6 yards-per-rush average -- lowest average since the 3.6 yards/rush average in 1993 -- the focus for rushing competency took form. After shuffling the offensive line and revising the playbook to overpower teams rather than tricking them (we never really trick anyone), the Bengals topped 2,000 yards rushing for the first time since 2000, calling 505 rushing plays of 1,011 total offensive snaps. If Bob Bratkowski was anything last year, he was masterful calling a balanced offense. Having a run-oriented offensive philosophy tricks defenses, provided you have the passing offense that takes advantage of an eager front seven with a safety cheating inside the box.

Unfortunately, this caused more problems than one would expect. Having lost Chris Henry last year to a broken left forearm against the Baltimore Ravens, the Bengals lost their speed and thus lacked the ability to spread the field. See, if you have eight in the box anticipating a run and can only throw the football 15-20 yards down field, you're throwing into the entire defense with no outlet over the top. This posed serious issues that was further exacerbated with receivers being unable to break free from their coverages and Palmer having lost a bit of his touch on deep throws. And when they did break free, those that Palmer targeted were anything but dependable.

Daniel Coats had the largest dropped passes rate, dropping 22.6% of all the passes he was targeted for and Laveranues Coles only caught 56.6% of the passes thrown his way; which presents the following argument -- did Coles just not catch the passes, or was Palmer's accuracy off. And while Andre Caldwell had the highest percentage of passes caught, his 8.9 yards/reception ranked 104th in the NFL. Cincinnati's 11.0 yards-per-reception average ranked 22nd in the league and no team produced more fumbles (7) after receptions than the Bengals.

Some would argue that the pass blocking wasn't that great. Some would argue otherwise. Cincinnati's adjusted sack rate (5.6%) ranked 10th in the NFL and Pro Football Focus ranked the Bengals pass blocking as the league's sixth best. Individually, Pro Football Focus ranked Andrew Whitworth as the league's seventh best pass blocking tackle in the NFL. Including Whitworth, Anthony Collins, Andre Smith and Dennis Roland, no Bengals tackle scored a negative pass blocking score by Pro Football Focus; you might as well include Bobbie Williams, Evan Mathis and Nate Livings, neither of whom recorded a negative pass blocking score. Kyle Cook recorded the worst pass blocking score (-0.5) being the only player to score in the red. Furthermore Palmer was only hit three times in the middle of a throw -- one of the lowest in the league -- and the eight passes that were batted at the line of scrimmage ranked 16th most.

While the offensive line is somewhat vindicated (by way of two websites), the team's skill players never were. Slow, unable to break free, Laveranues Coles was a shadow of his prime and did very little for the team's passing game, recording a career low (excluding his rookie season) 43 receptions and 514 yards receiving. Coles was released on March 4. Andre Caldwell's disappearing act has been extensively mentioned on this website. Fortunately, reports surfaced since the end of the season of Caldwell's extensive workout to become a better player. Less than a week after Coles' release, the Bengals signed Antonio Bryant to a contract that was nearly identical to the one Coles signed in 2009.

Antonio Bryant's Career Stats (per Pro-Football-Reference)

In furthering their quest to rebuild skill players, the Bengals added to their infusion of talent at wide receiver by drafting Jordan Shipley and Dezmon Briscoe during this year's NFL Draft.

Jordan Shipley College Stats (per ESPN)

Dezmon Briscoe College Stats (per ESPN)

But that wasn't enough. Rebuilding your wide receivers is one thing, with the hopeful intentions of proving that the 2009 roster was just lacking talent and speed and not some injury to the God of Golden Arms. However adding a weapon to a position that's hardly used as a passing threat is another. Years with Reggie Kelly made us believe one thing. The Tight End is only the sixth blocker on the offensive line during passes. Not that Kelly wasn't the best at doing it; it's just that at times we needed a bit more.

With the prospects of having Chad Ochocinco, Antonio Bryant, Jordan Shipley, Dezmon Briscoe, along with Andre Caldwell and possibly Jerome Simpson, who is practicing well enough this year to remain firm in people's minds, the team decided to make the Tight End a relevant position in the passing game that doesn't begin with the letter "blocking". Drafting Jermaine Gresham adds that element. And of all the wild cards sitting on the table, one has to appreciate the threat that Cincinnati could have with Gresham and Chase Coffman in double tight end formations. Whoa.

Jermaine Gresham's Collect Stats (via ESPN)

Cincinnati's prospects taking a 26th ranked passing offense in 2009 into a much improved era with a cast of veteran starting receivers and young slot receivers with the dynamics of speed and athleticism, along with a new position to threaten passing defenses, is enormous.

The Bengals went into the offseason needing to rebuild their passing offense. Heading into Training Camp, that plan is taking form and the Bengals beautifully put their pieces in position on the chess board.

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Antonio Bryant...

I’ve seen alot of people talking about the downsides of Antonio Bryant. The main one being his knee, and then almost as frequently I have read something talking about how Antonio Bryant doesn’t play well after signing a contract. Now I’m not sure exactly when his contracts were signed, but looking at the chart above that does not look to be the case. His first year with Dallas seems to have been his best there. Next he goes to Cleveland and does pretty well for then 10 games he was there that season, and then the next year steps it up even more with Cleveland. Next he goes to SF and matches his receptions and yards production with his rookie year, although his touchdowns drop by 50% (This could be due to any number of factors; I don’t know what they are). Then you look at his first year in Tampa Bay and he just blows up compared to his previous stats. So unless these contracts are signed after his first year with a team, I don’t see where these folks are getting there information.

I haven’t watched that much of Antonio Bryant to really see what factors played a part in his poor-mediocre stat years, but this just jumped out at me and didn’t jive with what I have been reading.

Anyway, feel free to comment and let me know your opinions, because as I said, I didn’t pay alot of attention to Antonio Bryant (course that will change now that he is a Bengal)

by Oregonbengalsfan on Jul 15, 2010 12:53 PM EDT reply actions  

RE:

It would be kind of hard to pay a lot of attention to Antonio.. He’s only had 2 seasons of +1,000 yards with 7 years in the league and those two season’s were on terrible teams.. Not a lot of glory in that..One can argue of course that he’s not had a good QB throughout his career and that’s a valid point…However the number’s are what they are and I feel we picked up a 2nd rate guy that’s injury prone for top tier money…Hopefully he can at least fill the void Houshmanzadeh left. It’s a damn shame we let that one slip out of our hands.. I think if he’d been on our team last year it could have made a gigantic difference in our passing game..

by JamesShively on Jul 15, 2010 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bryant’s impact will come from being a piece of the puzzle in a compliment to Ocho as an outside threat that will open up the middle for the slot and TEs. His stats are inconsistent, but he still brings a skill set that has to be accounted for and it will open things up for other players.

For the passing attack to be dynamic, the 3rd, 4th and 5th options must contribute at an above average level compared to the same role on other teams, especially in the Red Zone. This WR/TE group definitely has the right mixture to make that happen. It is also something the Bengals have lacked for 4-5 seasons.

by Cedric Benson Boat Party on Jul 15, 2010 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

he could fit very well

Not only on our team but in our division. despite stats I know he can both block and stretch field. Physical… Bring it…. (I couldn’t even name best CB in our division)

by quickslant on Jul 15, 2010 10:02 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Head case

I was just reading Bryant’s bio. He was released by two teams for heated confrontations with the head coach. He had an injury plagued 2009 with less than half the yards from 2008. Do you think he is the guy you needed to stay competitive in the division. That seems like a lot of money to pay for someone coming off a bad injury filled year. I think I would have gone after somebody healthier with a less disruptive personality. He also filed a law suit against the league to stop drug testing him after he failed a test and said he wasn’t in the league since he was suspended.

by Punt on Jul 16, 2010 8:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Dude, this is the Bengals.

If we were going to worry about alleged head cases we would have given up on our fandom long ago.

I think I would have gone after somebody healthier with a less disruptive personality.

Who? Who would have been a better free agent WR choice? T.O.?

by Jaegner on Jul 16, 2010 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

Let’s see…. a FA WR from last year who is not a head case. Maybe we should have gone after Brandon Mars….never mind…..

This is our year!

by Paul Cannon on Jul 16, 2010 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

I know the stats on the line

..“vindicate” the pass protection somewhat, I also remember what I saw—which was a lot of short drops, Palmer getting flushed from the pocket—perhaps not getting hit or sacked—but still forced to move to avoid a hit. I never had a lot of confidence in our line when it was third and long and everyone knew we were going to pass. That’s the true test. Our low yardage per completion says just as much about the line as it does our receivers—three steps, fire.

Perhaps Brat was overprotective of Palmer? Perhaps we needed better play calls? I know Alexander referred to last year’s line as an “apprenticehip” which indicates where he thought the majority of guys were with their development.

The good news is that we have everyone back and hopefully Andre Smith will be able to anchor the right side of the line.

I don’t think our passing attack needs to be as good as 2005—the Bengals proved they can win with strong defense and a ball control offense—for us to have a successful playoff run, but we definitely need a credible threat to take the pressure off the run game and the defense.

With our retooled targets, a healthy Palmer, and a more experienced line, the pieces are in place. All we need is someone, whether it be Gersham, Caldwell, Shipley or Simpson (hopefully all four) to step up and be that all important 3rd target to take the heat off of Chad and Bryant, and we will be in good shape.
 

by goffchile on Jul 15, 2010 3:47 PM EDT reply actions  

Matt Jones, where art thou!

Why just a barely mentioning of Matt Jones? I still think he may break out of his shell (like most players do under the Bengals in his situation/past). Seems like no one has paid any attention to him any more, is he struggling in camp? I find it real odd to hear Jerome Simpson doing good over Matt Jones, all though I would love to see Simpson be the freak we all keep hoping he can be. I feel the same way about Jones, he might be the deep threat we miss so much from the late #15. I sure hope so. Seriously, if Simpson and Jones come out, Bryant ends up as advertised, Coffman and Gresham, with the rookie WRs, and lets not forget the good side of Caldwell…Super Bowl bound, no way around it!

by minddrifter on Jul 15, 2010 6:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Seems like no one has paid any attention to him any more, is he struggling in camp?

From most of the reports I have seen during OTAs Matt is apparently a step slow and not impressing the coaches or people observing the OTAs. This all may change though in training camp, but that is what I have been reading.

by Oregonbengalsfan on Jul 15, 2010 6:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Carson Palmer is still an elite QB in the NFL.

Hopefully with better play from the offensive line and weapons around him, #9 can show the league he still has it. The o-line will be so important as far as team wins and losses this coming year. The spotlight will be on Andre Smith at RT this season, I still think that he was the best OT in the draft last year. If Nick Saban tells the world that Smith was the best OT in the draft last year who are we to argue….The Man knows football.

Kenneth Lewis Moore

by lightskin350 on Jul 15, 2010 8:18 PM EDT reply actions  

It’s a good thing Saban wasn’t his college coach or might dare to say he’s biased.

by bodacio zk on Jul 16, 2010 12:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

The stats on the line mean exactly jack squat

Lying by Statistics 101, introductory class. If you try to use one statistic to prove your point, anybody with a brain should see right through you.

Our sack rate means jack squat by itself. What matters is the REST of the data, especially including what was our HURRY rate. How many times as a percentage of all attempts was Carson either:
a) flushed and forced to scramble,
b) hit (before or after he got the pass off),
c) forced to look to his check-down because he didn’t have time for the play to develop,
d) just simply rushed into throwing his pass before he was ready (usually resulting in an incompletion and/or poorly thrown ball).

I don’t have those stats. But I’d bet if anybody could find them, those stats would be rather high. I’d bet quite a lot on that.

Did our receivers suck? Some of them, yeah. Did our line suck? Some of them, yeah. Did our OC suck? He was offensively bad, yeah. Did our QB suck? Some of the time, yeah.

With another year under their belts, the line should be at least somewhat better. If so, and if the receivers have been improved and if the OC has turned his brain back on and if Carson has been able to get the jitters out over his offseason vacation and get his confidence back, we can repair this and do better this year. But we need all four to improve, or at least 3 out of 4, to have a true resurgence.

by FriarBob on Jul 16, 2010 1:53 AM EDT reply actions  

The Broncos

get their first crack of preseason against the Bengals August 15 which is now less than a month away! Good luck to you guys in the HOF game because I hate the Cowgirls but hopefully we can take a game @ the PBS while ensuring no one gets hurt.

Brad James

by the new Bradfather on Jul 16, 2010 2:15 AM EDT reply actions  

we look great on paper

But in reality, who knows. It generally takes time for receivers to get acclimated to the league and I have a hard time expecting Shipley, Briscoe or Gresham being huge pieces of the puzzle in their rookie year. I want to believe but until I see it on the field, I’ll have to go with history, especially with Bratkowski calling the plays.

That being said, the fact that Palmer’s finger is fixed is probably the single biggest plus of this offseason. It was very hard for him last year to sell the playaction pass which contributed to our predictability down the stretch. If he can go back to selling it, the passing game will instantly improve.

by Mexal on Jul 16, 2010 5:45 AM EDT reply actions  

Palmer was a master at the PA pass earlier in his career and I agree w/o it the passing gaming loses that big play ability.

Palmer was definitely hurried this past season a lot. Part of this had to do with the defenses not having to respect our deep play threats. This allowed opposing teams to pressure the line more. The first time Gresham rips a 25 yard gain while running over a linebacker teams will have to back off.

This will give Palmer more time. Also we NEED to get back to the no-huddle. During the cardiac cats stretch Palmer was like a surgeon during the hurry-up… we need that kind of tempo more often. It obviously works for us.

by Throw the ball on Jul 16, 2010 1:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

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