JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 09: Quarterback Andy Dalton #14 of the the Cincinnati Bengals sets for play against the Jacksonville Jaguars October 9, 2011 at EverBank Field in Jacksonville, Florida. The Bengals won 30 - 20. (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
Rough Day For The Bengals Up Front
I have only one reasonable explanation for Andrew Whitworth having his worst game of the season and actually looking human for once. Jaguars DE Jeremy Mincey is made of Kryptonite. Yes, that's what we'll go with. In all seriousness, playing in Jacksonville amd using the Bengals stupid silent shotgun snap didn't help. You know what I'm talking about. You know when Nate Livings taps Kyle Cook to snap the ball? Well if we're noticing it, and Jaguars fans are noticing it, then every defensive player in the NFL should notice it and exploit it. When it looked like some Jags linemen were off sides, it was because they could visibly see the snap count. As soon as Nate Livings was tapping Cook, they were taking off. Whitworth was still good (13 winning blocks), but not his elite self (7 losing blocks).
When it comes to the running game, my worst fears about Nate Livings were confirmed. With Bobbie Williams back in the lineup, the Bengals were using Livings to pull and block linebackers on the 2nd level much more often. This isn't Livings' game. He's more of a power run blocker who can fight off defensive tackles. He doesn't belong in space trying to catch linebackers. I've backed Nate Livings all year, but if this is how they'll continue to use him, he just doesn't fit this offense. He ended the game with 8 winning blocks and 11 losing blocks.
Andre Smith continued his trend of playing well one week, and playing terrible in the next week. He's visibly getting better, but his the Adam Dunn of the Bengals O-line. Smith is either striking out or hitting home runs. Andre Smith ended up with 9 of his 13 losing blocks in the running game. With only Bobbie Williams (+3.0) and Whitworth (+0.5) scoring positive in the running game, its no wonder why the Bengals struggled to move the ball on the ground.
Welcome Back Bobbie
With the entire Bengals offensive line having their worst day of the season, the boost that was expected from Bobbie Williams was evident. He finished the game with 13 winning blocks and only 6 losing blocks. Williams' biggest contribution was in the running game where he had 10 of his 13 winning blocks. He ended up with the best total grade among his line mates with a +3.5 grade.
Expect This To Continue
What we said last week in our Keys vs. Jaguars:
Before the Bills game in week four, the Bengals only tried using the draw play to run the ball four times. When they did, the Bengals averaged 6-yards per carry. Jay Gruden must have noticed how well it has worked because against the Bills, the Bengals used the draw play five times averaging 7.6-yards per carry. Look for this play to become used more in this offense. Dalton was passing the ball out of the shotgun on 62 of 64 plays before the last game. Teams didn't feel the treat of the Bengals running it and started pinning their ears back to bring the pressure. Now with the draw play in use, defenses will have to play a bit more honest or get burned at 7-yards a pop.
Not only did we see more of the draw play, we saw it a total of seven times against the Jaguars. It wasn't as successful as it's been, and the Bengals only averaged 3-yards per draw play, but it's still an effective tool to slow pass rushers and stall linebackers. Expect it to continue.
3rd Quarter Struggles
The Bengals have received the ball first in the 2nd half on 4 out of the 5 games so far. In those 2nd half opening possessions, the offense is averaging only 2.5 yards per play. They've had 19 total plays on those opening possessions for a grand total of 99-yards and 3-points.
The Bengals have a total of 71-plays in the 3rd Quarter this year for a total of 399-yards and 24-points. Those numbers are inflated by two touchdown drives vs. The Broncos where the Bengals drove 132-yards in only 14-plays and scored 14-points.
The issue here in consistency and the frequency of big plays. In the drives that have resulted in scores, the Bengals are averaging 10.6 yards per play. That's a huge difference from the 2.5 yards per play in non-scoring drives. Getting chunk yardage and making big plays will give this team more opportunity to score. Long drives will require more disciplined play and more 3rd down conversions. Both can be the death of a young team's confidence.
3rd Down History Through Five Games
This has been the biggest issue holding the Bengals offense back in most weeks. I did some research and tallied up all of the Bengals 3rd down plays from this season. Here's what I came up with:
In games where the Bengals won, their average 3rd down distance is 5.9 yards. In those same games, the Bengals are gaining on average 4.1 yards on 3rd down.
In games where the Bengals have lost, their average 3rd down distance is 8.1 yards. In those same games, the Bengals are only gaining 2.1 yards on 3rd down.
This just goes to show you how the first two downs set up the Bengals 3rd down conversion rate. If they can get at least 4-yards on their first two plays, the Bengals conversion percentage is 41.7%. When they've gained less than 2-yards on the first two plays, the Bengals 3rd down conversions rate drops to 9.5%. They cannot win that way.
Breaking Down A Bengals Play: Blown Cover-2
- In this picture, you will see the Jaguars play and what routes their players are running. It's a simple play that is designed to take advantage of almost any coverage and makes for easy reads on their rookie QB.
- In picture 2, you can see the zones that easch Bengals player is responsible for. It's a basic cover-2 concept. The "2" in Cover-2 is basically how many players are playing deep zones. In this play, it's Reggie Nelson and Chris Crocker. The sole idea for these two players is to not let anybody get behind you. No matter what. You can also see Leon Hall and Nate Clements getting a jam on the outside receivers.
- Picture 3 shows us the play just after Gabbert looks up after trying to sell a play-action fake. I illistrated the area where each Bengals defender is focusing their attention. If you look at Hall, he is pointing to Nelson and releasing the WR into Nelson's zone. Hall i snow looking inside in order to make a play on TE Mercedes Lewis how is running acrossed the field.
- Picture 4 is where it all goes wrong. Gabbert can see Reggie Nelson running as hard as he can towards Lewis and Jason Hill is left running wide open. It's an easy throw for Blaine Gabbert. Chris Crocker is starting to turn and run towards the open receiver already as he can see the play unfolding.
- In the last picture, the only person who doesnt have a clue as to what's actually happening is Reggie Nelson. Hall and Crocker are already turning and running towards the receiver. Nelson never stopped and is now right on top of Mercedes Lewis. Touchdown Jaguars.
This play could've cost the Bengals the win. I understand when somebody is just trying to make a play and it's even more understandable when the entire secondary doesn't have an interception yet. But Reggie Nelson has blown coverages already this year and this one was inexcusable. He gets 90% of the blame. I do give a little blame to Leon Hall for carrying Jason Hill so far. If you look at picture 3, you can see that Leon Hall is just now releasing Jason Hill at the 43-yard line. At the same time, Nate Clements has released his WR at the 38-yard line. This may have confused Nelson as to which coverage they were playing. Still Nelson's fault, but Hall didn't help by overplaying his responsibilities.