It’s not exactly a fair comparison because throughout the years the teams have had different personnel and have run different offenses....also only Dalton started his actual first 4 games on the team....but the comparison is something to chew on.
Ken Anderson 1971 (games 5, 6, 7) 1972 (game 1)
Reached the 100 yard mark 3 times.
Had 2 games of a QB rating over 100, and 2 games under 50 rating.
Had 2 games of 67% and 70%, and 2 games of 31% and 48%.
So 2 terrible games, and 2 great games – no consistency.
Boomer Esiason 1984 (games 3, 4, 7, 9)
Attempted 24 and 26 passes his first 2 starts, but only totaled 8 attempts his next 2 starts.
Of those 2 starts where he attempted 20+ passes he had 2 INT’s in the first and 2 TD’s in the second.
1 good start, 1 bad start, 2 short starts.
David Klingler 1992 (games 12, 13, 14, 15)
Only reached 50% completions in 1 of his 4 starts.
Had 100+ yards in 3 of the starts, but 61 yards in his 4th start.
Was the only QB on this list to have more TD’s than INT’s in his first 4 starts.
Akili Smith 1999 (games 4, 5, 6, 7)
Chucked up 42 and then 38 passes in 2 of those starts, and got 200+ yards in those 2 games.
Only once had a QB rating higher than 65, though.
Carson Palmer 2004 (games 1, 2, 3, 4)
Had a great first start with 248 yards, 2 TD’s and a rating of 105.2, and 9.2 yards per attempt.
Followed that up with 1 TD to 6 INT’s over his next 3 starts.
Reached 248, 147, 316, 164 yards.
Had 3 TD’s to 7 INT’s.
Had 1 great start (rating of 105.2), and then 3 bad starts (rating below 54)
Andy Dalton 2011 (games 1, 2, 3, 4)
Had a solid first start with a 102.4 rating, 67% completions and 1 TD.
Had a great 2nd start with 332 yards (most of any QB listed) and 2 TD’s and a 107 rating.
Had an abysmal 3rd start with 157 yards 0 TD’s and 2 INT’s, and a QB rating of 40.8
Had a good 4th start 291 yards 1 TD, 2 INT
Had 1 great start, 2 good starts, and 1 bad start
Cmp...att....%....yd...td..int..y/a..TD%...INT%..Rate (YR1)
Kenny A..38....69...55%...395...3...3...5.7...4%...4%....70.6
Boomer...29....58...50%...343...2...2...5.9...3%...3%....62.9
David K..47....98...48%...530...3...2...5.4...3%...2%....66.3
Akili S..63...122...52%...627...2...3...5.1...2%...2%....55.6
Carson...84...154...55%...875...3...7...5.7...2%...5%....77.3
Andy D...72...124...58%...861...4...4...6.9...3%...3%....76.9
Andy Dalton has the most TD’s, best completion %, and best yards per attempt.
Kenny Anderson leads in TD% while Carson leads in INT% (amazingly Akili & Klingler are the lowest on INT %....who knew?).
Carson leads in passing yards and QB rating (barely beating Dalton in both categories).
Dalton has certainly started well for a QB. But one has to hope that he doesn’t have a low ceiling that he reaches early (and thus plateaus), but that he can has a high upside that he is still reaching for.
Poll
Which of these QB's had/has the most upside or potential to be a great QB after their first 4 starts?
K Anderson (14 votes)
B Esiason (10 votes)
D Klingler (2 votes)
A Smith (2 votes)
C Palmer (43 votes)
A Dalton (107 votes)
178 total votes


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