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Looking For Trends In The Bengals Passing Attack

CINCINNATI, OH - OCTOBER 16: Andy Dalton #14 of the Cincinnati Bengals throws a pass before the start of the NFL game against the Indianapolis Colts at Paul Brown Stadium on October 16, 2011 in Cincinnati, Ohio.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

After the Bengals loss to the Steelers on Sunday, I started to notice tendencies and trends in the Bengals passing offense. It came to me after Andy Dalton's second interception where it looked like William Gay knew when and where to play the ball. I think the Steelers knew where Dalton was going with the ball and it may have cost them the game in the end.

I went back to the Bengals last three games looking for something I could demonstrate to everyone. I decided to chart every one of Andy Dalton's throws to see if there was anything opposing defenses are looking at to try and gain an edge on the Bengals. After the jump, you'll see what I found.

Star-divide

What you'll see in these passing charts are the Completions (Black), Incompletions (White), Touchdowns (Orange), Interceptions (Red), Throw-away passes (Blue) and passes where the receiver was interfered with (Yellow). The arching line you see is to show where most people consider the separation between the easier throws and the harder throws

 Andy Dalton's Throws vs Seahawks

Dalton_vs_seahwaks_medium

 Against the Seahawks, you can tell where most of Dalton's passes were going. He attempted 15 passes to his right and within 10-yards. I was surprised to see 8-passes thrown behind the line of scrimmage. Of the harder throws, Dalton completed only one, the touchdown to A.J. Green.

 

 Andy Dalton's Throws vs Titans

Dalton_vs_titans_medium

Andy Dalton may have had his best game against the Titans. Again, most of his passes where short and to the right. He completed 12 of 16 passes with two touchdowns within 10-yards to his right side.

 Andy Dalton's Throws vs Steelers

  Dalton_vs_steelers_medium

This is where I think the Steelers started to notice the trend. With the majority of Dalton's passes going to the right within the easier-throw arch, the Steelers noticed and were able to intercept two passes. Again, Dalton didn't have much succcess going deep.

The most distrubing trend could be the lack of passes going down the middle. That should be where Jermaine Gresham lives. Granted, he did miss the Seahawks and Titans games but you can see that Dalton can be very accurate over the middle (8/11 with two TDs). Without A.J. Green this week, these trends could be tossed away. It's obvious that Green, who lines up to the right for the majority of his snaps, is Dalton's go-to guy. Look for Gresham to see more action down the middle this week vs. the Ravens.

 


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Yeah

I’ll do that next time.

CincyJungle.com Contributor for the NFL Draft

Follow me on Twitter @JoeGoodberry for Bengals & NFL Draft talk

by Joe Goodberry on Nov 20, 2011 11:43 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Off topic

Just wanted to say Robert Griffin III is the truth. Wow! What a day for college football. Oregon, Clemson, Oklahoma, and okie state all got beat.

by SCbengalsfan on Nov 20, 2011 12:10 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

It's been super frustrating how they use Gresham

You have to use the middle of the field and you have to make them respect Gresham going deep. And they’re not doing it.

by occams_tiger_teeth on Nov 20, 2011 12:29 AM EST reply actions  

Shipley

I think you’d see a lot more completions near the middle with a healthy Shipley playing.

by spif on Nov 20, 2011 1:18 AM EST reply actions  

Completely agree

CincyJungle.com Contributor for the NFL Draft

Follow me on Twitter @JoeGoodberry for Bengals & NFL Draft talk

by Joe Goodberry on Nov 20, 2011 11:43 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

If you eliminated AD's passes on designed roll-outs (intentional movement) and scrambles (the other kind)...

…I think his overall distribution would look a little different. They’ve had him roll out to the right side many times – but I don’t think any of those passes resulted in INTs.

I’d be willing to bet that the majority of passes dropped have occurred in the middle of the field. Lots of guys hearing footsteps or looking over their shoulder before the ball is secured.

It's an ankle bracelet, not a halo....

by yurintroubl on Nov 20, 2011 2:09 AM EST reply actions  

Yeah, i would agree

Most of the drops have been near the middle. Crossing routes, slants, posts

CincyJungle.com Contributor for the NFL Draft

Follow me on Twitter @JoeGoodberry for Bengals & NFL Draft talk

by Joe Goodberry on Nov 20, 2011 11:45 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Very nice illustrations and more clear than

the proverbial thousand words.

Also its seems to me some early success throwing over the middle would either open the run game if the backers play back another step or reduce the defensive manpower for your right trending pass game.

"We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence, then, is not an act, but a habit."
--Aristotle

by steelerstyle on Nov 20, 2011 7:08 AM EST reply actions  

Great article

Self scouting is fascinating.

"Ryan, Things in here don't react too well to bullets." - Marko Ramius

by TarZander on Nov 20, 2011 7:20 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Interesting analysis.

I’d have to agree that it seems like the Steelers were keying in on that side of the field. You’d think that the distribution would level out a little today with AJ out…no go-to guy, so Andy will need to spread the ball around a little more.

"I thought, 'Ball, please get down and into my hands.'"
-AJ Green

by Jaegner on Nov 20, 2011 10:39 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

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