If the Bengals are going to reach for a QB, they might as well do it right.

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If the Bengals are going to reach for a QB, they might as well do it right.

By ephram on Mar 29 2011, 8:13p 57

Editor's Note: The following article is written by Cincy Jungle commenter Ephram. Its an interesting article that may help you decide which quarterback the Bengals should select in the draft based on their accuracy and interception percentages. It shows percentages for accuracy and interceptions in both current NFL quarterbacks and the quarterbacks that may have caught the Bengals' eye. Ephram, job well done.

Looking at the QB’s over the last 10 or 15 years who were drafted in the 1st or 2nd rounds, I tried to find a statistic that all of the good QB’s shared and all of the bad QB’s (or busts) shared.

ACCURACY MATTERS A LOT

The ‘busts’ all had %’s below 62%.

2/3 of the ‘busts had a % of 58% or lower

The ‘serviceable’ guys had %’s all over the map, but all of them had a % higher than 59% except Jay Cutler

The ‘eilite’ guys (Manning, Rodgers, Brady, Rivers) had 62.3%-63.8%

Only Drew Brees had a lower %, but even that was still 61.5%

INT % MATTERS MORE THAN NOT

The ‘busts’ ranged from 2.4%-3.9%

The ‘servicable’ guys ranged from 1.4%-3.3% and were all over the map

The ‘elite’ guys had a % of 2.0%-2.6%

The ‘elite’ guys generally have a lower int % than the ‘busts’

TD % DOES NOT MATTER

The ‘busts’ generally had a higher % than the elite in this regard, and 3 of them (Akili, Klingler, Leaf) had TD %’s higher than any of the elite QB’s.

YARDS PER DOES NOT MATTER

The ‘busts’ generally had a higher Yards Per than the elite in this regard, and 4 of them (Akili, Leaf, Vince Young, J Russell) had higher Yards Per than any of the elite QB’s.

Yr	Rd		Conf	cmp	att	%	yd	y/c	y/a	td	td%	int	int%
2010	1	S Bradford	B12	604	893	67.6%	8403	13.9	9.4	88	9.9%	16	1.8%
2010	1	T Tebow	SEC	661	985	67.1%	9286	14.0	9.4	88	8.9%	15	1.5%
1999	1	T Couch	SEC	825	1232	67.0%	8772	10.6	7.1	76	6.2%	37	3.0%
2005	1	A Smith	WAC	389	587	66.3%	5203	13.4	8.9	47	8.0%	8	1.4%
2008	2	B Brohm	BE	780	1185	65.8%	10775	13.8	9.1	71	6.0%	24	2.0%
2004	1	B Roethlis	MAC	854	1304	65.5%	10829	12.7	8.3	84	6.4%	34	2.6%
2006	1	M Leinart	P10	807	1245	64.8%	10693	13.3	8.6	99	8.0%	23	1.8%
2009	1	M Sanchez	P10	313	487	64.3%	3965	12.7	8.1	41	8.4%	16	3.3%
2007	2	D Stanton	B10	541	847	63.9%	6524	12.1	7.7	42	5.0%	28	3.3%
2005	1	A Rodgers	P10	424	665	63.8%	5469	12.9	8.2	43	6.5%	13	2.0%
2004	1	P Rivers	ACC	1087	1711	63.5%	13484	12.4	7.9	95	5.6%	34	2.0%
1998	1	P Manning	SEC	851	1354	62.9%	11201	13.2	8.3	90	6.6%	33	2.4%
2010	2	J Clausen	IND	695	1110	62.6%	8148	11.7	7.3	60	5.4%	27	2.4%
2007	2	J Beck	WAC	885	1418	62.4%	11021	12.5	7.8	79	5.6%	34	2.4%
2000	6	T Brady	B10	443	711	62.3%	5351	12.1	7.5	35	4.9%	18	2.5%
2008	1	J Flacco	-	853	1370	62.3%	10028	11.8	7.3	55	4.0%	27	2.0%
2007	1	J Russell	SEC	493	797	61.9%	6625	13.4	8.3	52	6.5%	21	2.6%
2006	1	V Young	B12	444	718	61.8%	6040	13.6	8.4	44	6.1%	28	3.9%
2007	2	K Kolb	B12	963	1564	61.6%	12954	13.5	8.3	85	5.4%	31	2.0%
2001	2	D Brees	B10	1026	1668	61.5%	11792	11.5	7.1	90	5.4%	44	2.6%
2004	1	E Manning	SEC	841	1383	60.8%	10286	12.2	7.4	84	6.1%	36	2.6%
2008	1	M Ryan	ACC	807	1347	59.9%	9313	11.5	6.9	56	4.2%	37	2.7%
2008	2	C Henne	B10	828	1387	59.7%	9715	11.7	7.0	87	6.3%	37	2.7%
2003	1	C Palmer	P10	912	1543	59.1%	11668	12.8	7.6	72	4.7%	49	3.2%
2009	1	J Freeman	B12	680	1151	59.1%	8078	11.9	7.0	44	3.8%	34	3.0%
2007	1	B Quinn	IND	929	1602	58.0%	11762	12.7	7.3	95	5.9%	39	2.4%
2004	1	JP Losman	CUSA	570	987	57.8%	6754	11.8	6.8	60	6.1%	27	2.7%
2009	1	M Stafford	SEC	564	986	57.2%	7731	13.7	7.8	51	5.2%	33	3.3%
1992	1	D Klingler	B12	652	1140	57.2%	8528	13.1	7.5	83	7.3%	37	3.2%
2006	1	J Cutler	SEC	710	1242	57.2%	8697	12.2	7.0	59	4.8%	36	2.9%
1999	1	A Smith	P10	323	571	56.6%	5148	15.9	9.0	43	7.5%	14	2.5%
2002	1	J Harrington	P10	465	855	54.4%	6289	13.5	7.4	53	6.2%	21	2.5%
1998	1	R Leaf	P10	473	880	53.8%	7433	15.7	8.4	59	6.7%	24	2.7%

SO WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN????

Looking ahead at the top 7 prospects in this year’s draft:

No candidate meets the requirement of a completion % above 62% AND an INT percentage in the low 2% range.

Yr	Rd		Conf	cmp	att	%	yd	y/c	y/a	td	td%	int	int%
2011		C Newton	SEC	191	292	65.4%	2908	15.2	10.0	30	10.3%	7	2.4%
2011		C Ponder	ACC	596	965	61.8%	6872	11.5	7.1	49	5.1%	30	3.1%
2011		A Dalton	WAC	812	1317	61.7%	10314	12.7	7.8	71	5.4%	30	2.3%
2011		B Gabbert	B12	568	933	60.9%	6822	12.0	7.3	40	4.3%	18	1.9%
2011		C Kapernik	WAC	740	1271	58.2%	10098	13.6	7.9	82	6.5%	24	1.9%
2011		R Mallett	SEC	552	955	57.8%	8385	15.2	8.8	69	7.2%	24	2.5%
2011		J Locker	P10	619	1148	53.9%	7639	12.3	6.7	53	4.6%	35	3.0%

ACCURACY INT%

C Newton ELITE SERVICEABLE

B Gabbert SERVICEABLE SERVICEABLE

C Ponder SERVICEABLE BUST

A Dalton SERVICEABLE SERVICEABLE

C Kapernik BUST SERVICEABLE

R Mallett BUST SERVICEABLE

J Locker BUST BUST

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors.

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