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Mel Kiper: AFC North First-Round Breakdown

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In Mel Kiper's first two mock drafts, he had the Bengals selecting Georgia wide receiver A.J. Green with the No. 4 overall pick. Kiper just came out with his latest mock draft (on ESPN In$ider) and he changed things up a little. I'm going to guide you through the first round for the AFC North, saving the Bengals for last because I want to make you squirm. Is the picture above foreshadowing or am I just messing with you?

Read on.

Star-divide

First the Pittsburgh Steelers selected Baylor guard Danny Watkins with the No. 31 overall pick.

With Florida guard Mike Pouncey long gone in this mock, Kiper says Watkins is the pick. The Steelers need depth and youth on their offensive line. But I believe Pittsburgh is the most likely AFC North team to trade up in this draft. The Steelers are coming off a Super Bowl appearance and were very close to winning a championship. They only need a few pieces, and if the right cornerback or offensive lineman is available, the Steelers shouldn't be afraid to part ways with some of their picks.

Then, since we're going in reverse order here, come the Baltimore Ravens with the No. 26 overall pick. They select Colorado cornerback Jimmy Smith.

Kiper remains steadfast in believing the Ravens will take a cornerback in the first round. In his second mock draft, the pick was corner Aaron Williams of Texas. In this mock draft, it's Smith. The Ravens do have the propensity to take the best available player, but I think they will address a need in the first round. Baltimore definitely could use help at offensive tackle and also with its pass rush. According to Kiper's mock, Colorado offensive tackle Nate Solder would be available at No. 26, and that would be a great value pick for Baltimore. With starting cornerback Domonique Foxworth returning, I would be surprised if Baltimore takes a corner early.

Next are the Cleveland Browns, who draft right after the Bengals with the No. 6 overall pick. According to Kiper, they select Georgia wide receiver A.J. Green.

The best receiver in the draft goes to Cleveland, according to Kiper. The Browns' receivers desperately need help, and Green would give them a legitimate No. 1 option in their new West Coast offense. I'm not against this pick, but there is a lot of debate in Cleveland about whether this team should address its defensive line in the first round. I think the Browns are leaning more in that direction. Cleveland is going to a 4-3 scheme in 2011 and need help at both defensive end and defensive tackle. There should be some good prospects there at No. 6.

And finally, we come to the Cincinnati Bengals, who have the No. 4 overall pick. Mel Kiper believes that they will spend their first-round pick on Auburn quarterback Cam Newton................. it was foreshadowing.

Newton is the most polarizing player in the NFL draft, and Kiper believes the Bengals will take him at No. 4. Cincinnati's quarterback position is in turmoil with starter Carson Palmer demanding a trade and threatening to retire. But is Newton the right replacement? He has tremendous athleticism but also comes with boom or bust potential. Because of his athleticism and one year of starting experience, some have compared Newton to Akili Smith. Right or wrong, those comparisons will only increase if he goes to Cincinnati.

What are your thoughts?

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Always interesting to see what Gary Wichard Mel Kiper thinks about the draft.

Still not a crook!

by TrickyD26 on Mar 9, 2011 1:02 PM EST reply actions   2 recs

CAM NEWTON IN THE JUNGLE BABY!!!!

Do you know where we are? Were in the jungle baby!!!!!!
YAYYYYYYYYYYY BUNGLES!!!!!!!!

by Diesel2405 on Mar 9, 2011 1:21 PM EST reply actions  

Go Get your Jersey brother!

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 1:26 PM EST up reply actions  

If there is a stupid move to make...

Mike Brown will make it. Heeeeeeeeeeere’s Cammy!

"The only thing we have to fear is, Mike Brown himself."

by DrainBamage on Mar 9, 2011 3:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Please, not another QB in the first round.

The only QB that has worked out for the Bengals in the first round was Carson Palmer. All of the other first round QBs were a bust. Newton does have Akili Smith written all over him. Just like Gabbert has Klingler written all over him. Take a solid player who is less risky and will help right away. If there was an Andrew Luck out there, then I would say take him. But there is just not a francise QB in this year’s draft.

by Yodiak on Mar 9, 2011 1:21 PM EST reply actions  

Go tell Marvin Lewis that :)

1st round draft wishes.
Bengals: Blaine Gabbert, Nick Fairley or AJ Green!
Cavaliers: Kyrie Irving and Harrison Barnes!

by C Byers on Mar 9, 2011 2:08 PM EST up reply actions  

hardly a fair comparison...

Klinger played at Houston, didn’t he? Every QB who’s played at Houston the past 20 years put up monster stats. I admit the Big 12 is a pass-happy league, but it’s on a completely different level from Houston.

by indesignkat on Mar 9, 2011 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

He is right!

I cant see Newton being on the board and cincy not drafting him,I think Mike Brown thinks that this sends a message to Carson,in the short term maybe,long term the Bengals will be the laughing stock once again.

The Brownies drafting AJ Green…..if anyone could make a case for drafting a wide receiver that high it would be them.

Somehow i would feel better if we would get a pick out of Carson,then if they drafted a QB 1st at least we would still have another,to draft defense or O-line

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 1:22 PM EST reply actions  

Agian,name any receiver ever drafted that high!

No receiver ever came to a last place team,and turned them around,this isnt Detroit

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 1:28 PM EST up reply actions  

The Brownies,however

The browns have a glareing need for a wide receiver,there defense wasnt bad,and they have good O-line,running game,thats why i say they could make a good case

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 1:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Andre Johnson sure helped.

Larry Fitzgerald also helped. Granted, you obviously need to have more than just one player, because without the supporting cast you could have nearly any player and still not be successful.

by ddbumpus on Mar 9, 2011 3:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Realy!

What happened to Fitz without Warner?
AJ has he ever made the playoffs?
I’m not saying these guys are not beasts,its just a fact the wide receiver position is the most glorified in sports,my opinion a kicker and punter have more impact on the outcome of a game.

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 3:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Bill Walsh -

“Only pick a WR when all other positions have been solidified.”

1st round draft wishes.
Bengals: Blaine Gabbert, Nick Fairley or AJ Green!
Cavaliers: Kyrie Irving and Harrison Barnes!

by C Byers on Mar 9, 2011 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

really?

Houston’s lack of SB rings cannot be blamed on Andre Johnson. And the success of Fitzgerald can’t be put squarely on Warner’s shoulders. I agree with you for the most part, we don’t need a WR in the first couple rounds, but this is a silly argument.

by indesignkat on Mar 9, 2011 5:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Read

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

My Fault,maybe i should READ!

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

YAY BUNGLES!

CAM NEWTON for Cincinnati Mayor!

by Diesel2405 on Mar 9, 2011 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

This guy isnt a Bengals Fan!

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 1:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I can only imagine the intense contract negotiations that will occur

among Mike Brown, Katie Blackburn, Cam Newton, Cam Newton’s agent, and Cam Newton’s father.

by Grizzlyfox on Mar 9, 2011 1:44 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Maybe we wont draft him after all

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 1:47 PM EST up reply actions  

No On Newton!

Name one team with an “athletic” or “running” quarterback (aside from Steve Young) who has one a Super Bowl in the past forty-odd years. Name one…

by Skeleton Kees on Mar 9, 2011 2:00 PM EST reply actions  

Winning a super bowl?

Is winning a super bowl really on the table as long as the Browns own the team?

by wordtrey on Mar 9, 2011 2:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Um

John Elway.. http://bit.ly/f1iNou
he was a runner.

1st round draft wishes.
Bengals: Blaine Gabbert, Nick Fairley or AJ Green!
Cavaliers: Kyrie Irving and Harrison Barnes!

by C Byers on Mar 9, 2011 2:20 PM EST up reply actions  

ran for 218. in 97 pretty decent chunk

1st round draft wishes.
Bengals: Blaine Gabbert, Nick Fairley or AJ Green!
Cavaliers: Kyrie Irving and Harrison Barnes!

by C Byers on Mar 9, 2011 3:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Pass First,run second

I agree the running QB doesnt win it all,but i also think guys like Elway,Steve Young,Aaron Rodger’s,guys that are pass 1st run 2cd can be better than your sitting ducks

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 2:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Also Aaron Rodgers is extremely athletic, and is a good runner.

and you seem to be a bit confused about Newton. He was not a run-first guy all through college. It was something that he added to his game when he went to Auburn because the coaches drew up draw plays for him.

Fight Bengals Fatalism!

by Paul Cannon on Mar 9, 2011 4:04 PM EST up reply actions  

All through that 1 year!

If thats the case,and it translates to the NFL,i’d be the first guy to want him

I question his work ethic,after becoming a very rich man
i question our coaching staff preparing him to make reads,that seems to be the biggest problem with these type of QB’s,rush to the paycheck,and never earn it

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 4:55 PM EST up reply actions  

oops

first “one” = “won”

by Skeleton Kees on Mar 9, 2011 2:01 PM EST reply actions  

You guys remember in the beginning of the football season

I was saying Cam Newton will be a top QB taken..

Its not draft day yet.. but it’s looking like my prophecy of Cam being a top pick comes true.

1st round draft wishes.
Bengals: Blaine Gabbert, Nick Fairley or AJ Green!
Cavaliers: Kyrie Irving and Harrison Barnes!

by C Byers on Mar 9, 2011 2:10 PM EST reply actions  

No Cam Shaft

Start LeFevour, pick Fairley or Dareus in the first, use Seattle’s first round CP9 trade on Gabe Carimi and pick Ponder in 2nd round. Then use Miami’s, Jet’s or Pat’s second round Ocho trade for the WR from Norte Dam

by sofakingood on Mar 9, 2011 2:11 PM EST reply actions  

Wr from Notre Dame didn't come out this year..

Are you saying we trade him for a 2012 pick o.O

1st round draft wishes.
Bengals: Blaine Gabbert, Nick Fairley or AJ Green!
Cavaliers: Kyrie Irving and Harrison Barnes!

by C Byers on Mar 9, 2011 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Justin Blackmon or Ashlon Jeffries please

1st round draft wishes.
Bengals: Blaine Gabbert, Nick Fairley or AJ Green!
Cavaliers: Kyrie Irving and Harrison Barnes!

by C Byers on Mar 9, 2011 3:28 PM EST up reply actions  

2cd round for Ocho?

Wishful thinking,that would be a very,very desperate team.I say 4th rounder,maybe a late 3rd rounder at best.

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 9, 2011 2:58 PM EST up reply actions  

I'd rather not

If we were drafting in the 20s, or if he somehow fell out of the first (remember, Clausen was allegedly a top pick), I’d have no problem with taking him. And he fits our usual draft MO: guys that played on highly-successful teams and/or guys with high athletic ceilings, even if they’re shaky on fundamentals or supposedly have motivation/discipline issues. (Rey, Andre Smith, Simpson, Dunlap, etc.)

I’d prefer Von Miller, Dareus, or Peterson, with Green and Fairley tied for a distant fourth. But if we take Cam, I won’t be as angry as I’d be if we took Bowers. Gabbert and Cam both have the same risk/reward, to me.

by Big Sky Bengal on Mar 9, 2011 2:41 PM EST reply actions  

No Cam....

We would have to trade Carson first. That means Mike Brown would have to get a brain. I can see it now, Mikey boy tells Carson to retire, drafts Cam, and Carson comes back out of retirement to literally screw Mike Brown. Bengals will be forced to trade Carson for squat.

by CINCY1CATS on Mar 9, 2011 2:52 PM EST reply actions  

I don't really care about the talking heads suggesting who we do or don't take.

We’ll ultimately find out later, the speculation is just redundant and numbing at this point.

My question is where did you get that image? That’s one hell of a good photoshop job.

by Doc Scratch on Mar 9, 2011 4:30 PM EST reply actions  

espn has a while ago

here’s another good one

http://img200.imageshack.us/i/camnewtonswapcincut4.png/sr=1

1st round draft wishes.
Bengals: Blaine Gabbert, Nick Fairley or AJ Green!
Cavaliers: Kyrie Irving and Harrison Barnes!

by C Byers on Mar 9, 2011 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Relevant:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5XcKBmdfpWs

I mean, seriously, who knew that while Mike Nugent was rehabbing his knee, he was secretly on the field in place of Carson? How did he manage to hide the fact that he was a QB from everyone for so long?

by Doc Scratch on Mar 9, 2011 11:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Bust potential of 0 but still ended up being a bust

BOOOOOM! Busted

"You don't live in Cleveland, You live in Cincinnati"-Sam Wyche
"I promise to throw interceptions for touchdowns just as good as he did" -Jordan Palmer

by TennBengalfan on Mar 10, 2011 8:19 AM EST up reply actions  

Sorry,Bust's dont take a Mike Brown owned team to the playoffs!

Although Carson may not have lived up to the comparisons with Brady,Manning of a few years back,he is not a bust,no way,no how.If he is granted his trade request he still has 5 good seasons ahead of him,i dont think its a reach to say in the right situation,Palmer could find himself in the Super Bowl

"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"

by keithp on Mar 10, 2011 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

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