If History Proves Anything: The Bengals Will Address A Need In The First Round, Not BPA
While the Cincinnati Bengals would obviously enjoy drafting the best player available, during the Marvin Lewis era, the team typically addresses the positions that were often described as desperate needs in the first round. A philosophical debate always foreshadows an insurrection of a unified community. Should a team select the best available player, even though the position that that player is drafted for is solid? Maybe.
The best available player at a position considered strong for a team makes it that much stronger, directly aiming an eye towards the future of limiting exposure for desperate needs later. Then again, once a team enters the phase of desperate needs, doesn't it make the argument for best available player null? Wouldn't it be better to address gaps on the roster, picking safe players at a position of desperate need rather than filling it with undrafted free agents? Consider this. If a collection of big safety prospects were available in this year's draft that the Bengals could draft in the first round, don't you think the whole wide receiver argument becomes lesser for the debate?
The team's recent history proves that they view needs higher than the best available player. Prior to the NFL Draft in 2010, contributions in the passing game turned into an obsession, needing weapons for quarterback Carson Palmer. The Bengals drafted Oklahoma's Jermaine Gresham, who broke a franchise record for most receptions by a rookie tight end (52). Oddly enough after getting what he wanted, Palmer had another sub-par season, throwing interceptions and touchdowns to the other team at such a rate, that his demand for a trade was met with scorn and relief. Disbelief briefly existed because no one believed it was in his personality to address the situation through the media.
Before the 2009 NFL Draft, the Bengals needed an offensive tackle and selected Alabama's Andre Smith, who was saturated with red flags surrounding his work ethic before the draft. Thanks to a foot injury, Smith has only started five games and missed 19 in two seasons. Some point to a lack of work ethic that caused a lengthy rehabilitation that forced him to miss time during training camp after a February foot procedure. Regardless, the team needed help on the offensive line after intense pressure often forced Ryan Fitzpatrick out of the pocket in 2008; the same year that Palmer missed 12 games due to an elbow injury and had his nose bloodied during the preseason.
Linebackers were a serious problem in 2007, especially after starters Caleb Miller, Ahmad Brooks and Lemar Marshall suffered season-ending injuries early in the season. The Bengals started guys like Anthony Schlegel and Corey Mays at points during the season. Rashad Jeanty and Landon Johnson were the only solid linebackers until the team signed Dhani Jones off the streets to stabilize the position. Once the season concluded, it was painfully obvious the team needed to rebuild a position that was originally going to feature guys like David Pollack and Odell Thurman (more on that below).
After signing Brandon Johnson and Darryl Blackstock away from the Arizona Cardinals, the Bengals drafted USC's Keith Rivers in the first round. Aside from a injury-shortened rookie season, Rivers ranks second on the team in tackles behind Dhani Jones in the past two seasons. Needing to replace Tory James and Deltha O'Neal, the Bengals selected South Carolina's Johnathan Joseph and Michigan's Leon Hall in 2006 and 2007.
The Bengals drafted Pollack and Thurman in 2005 after it was obvious Brian Simmons' career was slowing down. Kevin Hardy was, at best, a serviceable stop-gap solution while Nate Webster suffered a season-ending injury early during the 2004 season. The Bengals traded Corey Dillon after the 2003 season and Rudi Johnson was largely an unknown. So the team drafted a running back in the first round during the 2004 NFL Draft. And during the 2003 NFL Draft, the Bengals selected a franchise quarterback in the first round. A need at the time.
So really, no matter whom the Bengals select, you better believe it'll be a big need on their roster. And if that need happens to be the best player available, so much the better.
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All signs point to Green...
I railed against taking Green at 4, but I’m alright with it. Unquestionably fills a need and is one of the best players in the draft. Safe pick overall. Not big on taking WR’s so high (especially with no QB in the AFCN) so let’s hope that he’s good as advertised. I’m more intested in how the rest of the picks play out. Rounds 2-5 are going to make or break the draft.
Assuming Green is the pick in the first Mallett in the 2nd would be an A+ first two rounds IMO
Absolutely
Especially if Newton and Gabbert are off the board. If Gabbert is still there, trade possibilities start to open up, and that’s when it gets interesting.
What we can do versus what we can't
We can definitely identify our primary need in any given offseason—but when it comes to identifying secondary needs, we don’t do as well.
I think we (attempt to) go for need over BPA because we know our main need, but don’t have the scouting to truly figure out the BPA. (Or maybe we do have the scouting, but MB doesn’t think a non-flashy player is worth it.)
QB is our biggest need but no draftee is going to right the ship in 2011
We don’t have a strong enough defense (a la Baltimore) to let a QB find his groove without taking risks.
Taking A.J. Green would still be a BPA pick even though it’s somewhat need. Same thing for Peterson (who says Joseph resigns). If we reached 10+ slots higher thats anti-BPA (Andre Smith comes to mind).
bpa
if patrick peterson is available and the bengals don’t take him i’ll be furious. he’s the best player in the draft. regardless of what happens with jj the bengals should take peterson.
I think the Bengals philosophy is to draft a player in round 1 who can come in and start right away. So they take guys where there is a perceived need because that player can obviously step in right away and earn the big $ that they command. I only hope they do not reach when they do this.
After round 1 they tend to take the best player available over a position that is usually perceived as a need – which I like!!!
Most NFL contracts are relatively short at only a few years, and injuries tend to play a big part in the NFL game, so what is not a need today can become a big need tomorrow. Therefore, I’m a believer that the best strategy is to take the best players available so as to fill your team with the best talent possible. If you are always reaching to fill a need you are just chasing your tail because there will always be a need, and you are missing out on top talent and just filling your roster with mediocre players while letting your opponents collect the better players. But if you take the best player available you are not only keeping your opponents from getting the stud players that you are passing on, but you are also collecting the best talent so that what may otherwise become a need tomorrow will not become a need because you already have a guy who fills that potential void.
For example:
Whit was not a need pick since we had 2 good OT’s at the time. But we were able to move him to OG, and when those 2 OT’s were gone, Whit was able to slide over and become a stud LT thus negating the need to go after a LT in the draft.
C Dunlap was not a need pick since we had R Geathers, A Odom, J Fanene, and M Johnson battling for DE. But Dunlap came in and kicked butt and is now a solid starter at DE so we can let guys like Odom move on and possibly shift M Johnson to OLB and swing Rey to the middle, thus eliminating a possible need at LB.
Had we gone after ‘needs’ with those picks instead, we wouldn’t have some of the stud players that we have.

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