FanPost

FIRST ROUND RB’S....THE LAST 6 YEARS

2011 M Ingram – didn’t do much his first season. Couldn’t push much lower drafted guys like D Sproles, P Thomas, or C Ivory, etc... out of his way

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2010 CJ Spiller – considered an “explosive” top 10 pick, who promptly got stuck behind UFA Fred Jackson and relegated to “receiver” duties (until Fred got hurt)

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2010 R Mathews – supposedly a complete back taken #12 overall. Has struggled to fend off much lower drafted M Tolbert from hawking 1/2 his carries, but has been farily good.

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2010 J Best – nothing more than in injury prone version of LaMichael James. Is in no way a “feature” back. Another bad season could dump him into the “bust” category?

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2009 K Moreno – Was supposed to be a complete back taken #12 overall. Did nothing for 2 seasons, then got hurt and replaced by an old journeyman McGahee who completely outplayed him

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2009 D Brown – a bust on a near Chris Perry level

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2009 B Wells – Played 2nd fiddle to Tim Hightower, then ARI drafted a RB to replace him, and finally got a shot this year when the starter (R Williams) got hurt preseason

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2008 D McFadden – Taken #4 overall, and looks the part of a true stud RB worthy of a #4 overall slot. Has great speed, catches the ball well, runs inside & out. But can’t stay healthy and therefore doesn’t produce much.

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2008 J Stewart – A good RB, but in a platoon and has never been able to showcase if he can do anything.

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2008 F Jones – More of an outside runner who really shouldn’t have been a round 1 guy. Hasn’t done much and has lost his role to a round 3 RB (DeMarco)

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2008 R Mendenhall – Has had a good career. Nothing about him is elite, but he’s good.

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2008 C Johnson – Great RB worthy of his round 1 draft spot. Great speed. Catches well. Is wearing down already, though.

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2007 A Peterson – stud RB.

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2007 M Lynch – struggled in BUF, getting benched for UFA Fred Jackson. Got shipped out to SEA, and finally after 4 bad years, shined in 2011.

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2006 The infamous “Reggie Bush” sweepstakes was on in 2006 (much like the 2011 “Suck for Luck”), and HOU won the right to pick Bush, but chose a DE, which promptly got Charlie Casserley fired. Bush fell to #2 overall, and has been totally unimpressive in 5 seasons for the Saints. Finally had a good campaign for Miami, but is their #2 RB.

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2006 L Maroney – Never really did much. Fizzled before he ever took off.

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2006 D Williams – Has size, speed, etc... Had 1 great season, and some good seasons, but is stuck in a platoon so it’s hard to tell how good he really is.

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2006 J Addai – had a few good seasons on a potent Indy team, but was never great. Faded into obscurity rather quickly.

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2005 R Brown – Supposedly amazing back from the SEC with all the tools. Was pretty good, but never as great as a #2 overall pick would warrant. Faded very quickly from the starter’s role.

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2005 Ced Benson – Was supposed to be the complete stud RB with a great pedigree, and taken #4 overall. Struggled to unseat Thomas Jones, and ended up in Cincy as a reclamation project. Is so “good” that we are desperate to replace him and his 3.5ypc.

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2005 C Williams – The Cadillac was a reach at #5 overall, and has responded with 1 decent rookie season, but has struggled with injuries and suckiness ever since.

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A lot of these guys are fairly good, but only 2 of those RB’s have really become “great” or “elite” in Chris Johnson & A Peterson. Although Johnson is already showing signs of wearing down, as his yards, YPC, and TD’s are all continually dropping since his 1 big season.

(I think McFadden could reach that elite plateau if he could stay healthy)

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So 2 elite RB’s taken since 2005, but many more “busts” – L Maroney, K Moreno, D Brown, F Jones

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I get that Trent Richardson is this year’s “stud/elite” back. And he could end up being fairly decent, but a lot of guys over the last 6 years entered the draft as “elite/stud” RB’s, and they don’t all pan out. Richardson doesn’t have Chris Johnson’s or McFadden’s speed, nor does he have Peterson’s elusive shiftiness. So best case, Richardson ends up as a “good/decent” back like a Benson, Ronnie Brown, or Marshawn Lynch type. Although worst case, Richardson could end up as another Knowshon Moreno or Felix Jones, sitting at 2nd string somewhere other than where he was drafted, in 4 years.

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So my main point is, just because Richardson is this year’s “best back” doesn’t automatically mean he is Peterson (which many posts seem to assume). Because looking over the past 6 years, there is a lot of carnage from the 1st round backs. It’s a short shelf life position, so unless Richardson is the 2nd coming of Barry Sanders, I just don’t see the value in using a 1st round pick on the guy, when the success of 1st round backs of late really hasn’t been much better (and maybe arguably worse?) than the RB’s drafted after round 1.

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Those are my thoughts....feel free to shoot them down :-)

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors.

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