Do we need to take a guard in the first round?
While I agree that we need an upgrade at one or both guard positions, The logic that everyone is using to take a guard in round 1 is faulty. Saying that we shouldn't take a RB in r1 because the position is devalued in the draft and then turning around and saying we should take a guard in the 1st instead is just silly. Guards are rarely drafted in the first round... much more rare than a RB drafted in round 1. Here is a breakdown of the best guards and when they were drafted.
Best guards draft breakdown:
Marshal Yanda – 3rd (86th overall)
Carl Nicks – 5th (164th overall)
Ben Grubbs – 1st (29th overall)
Jahri Evans – 4th (108th overall)
Josh Sitton – 4th (135 overall)
Logan Mankins – 1st (32nd overall)
Kris Dielman – UDFA
Chris Snee – 2nd (34th overall)
Eric Steinbach – 2nd (33rd overall)
Chris Kemoeatu – 6th (204th overall)
Brian Waters – UDFA
Brandon Moore – UDFA
Please please please digest this information and THINK about it. Don't forget that Boling is a 4th round pick and could turn into a very good starter. Remember he was getting bounced around this year and didn't get a training camp either. Don't discount him yet.
Also don't assume that if we take a RB in round 1 that we aren't allowed to upgrade the guard positions. We can still draft a guard in 2nd 3rd or 4th and he could be a good starter. If DeCastro is gone by our pick, next guards are Glenn (proj. 1-2), Osemele (proj. 2), Zeitler (proj. 2), Miller (proj. 3-4), Nix (proj. 3-4), Washington (proj. 3-4). There isn't a ton of dropoff in talent here that would warrant reaching for a guard in round 1 outside of DeCastro. Take any of those guys in r 2-4 or a T or C to stick in a guard. There are a LOT more options to upgrade at guard other than drafting one in the first round.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors.
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For every list...
listing successful players drafted in the latter rounds, there is a list of busts. So stop with the what’s better taking where. Just address the goddamn needs in order and we’ll be fine.
What do you do when there's no way out? Find a way to get deeper in it.
I meant to say...
for every list of successful players drafted in the latter rounds, there is a list of successful players drafted in the higher rounds. There are busts everywhere too. Part of it is luck, but if you don’t draft what you need at a certain point, you’re not going to balance your team accordingly.
What do you do when there's no way out? Find a way to get deeper in it.
But there isn't.
There is not list of great guards taken in the top 20. The only one I can think of is Maurkice Puncey, taken by Pittsburgh 18th overall. He’s pretty good for them.
But in general, I think Luke makes a really good point. We should take a guard when there’s a good one available who’s worth the pick we’re using. We need a guard, so we’d better get one in the draft or FA, but it’s pretty illogical to say that we HAVE to get a guard before a running back, even if you suppose that OG is more important than RB. We have to play the draft correctly, and that doesn’t mean reaching for Cordy Glenn with one of our first round picks. There will be starting-quality guards available in the second round.
I'm throwin' rocks tonight! Mark it, Dude.
by Pardon_My_French on Feb 1, 2012 9:12 AM EST up reply actions
Cordy Glenn could be a great pick up
Obviously I’d prefer DeCastro but Glenn at 21 I think has a lot of value. There’s a difference between reaching for a guy by a couple of rounds than by a couple of picks. We are so close to being a consistent winning team that we DO need to play the draft correctly. And I think that means drafting your needs no matter what. Again, I’m not advocating reaching for a guy a couple of rounds, but I wouldn’t mind if the reached for Glenn or even Martin with their first two picks.
What do you do when there's no way out? Find a way to get deeper in it.
I wasn't arguing to draft anyone specifically.
I was just trying to point out the fallacy in logic of saying that we shouldn’t take a RB in the first because teams get good RBs in the later rounds and then turn around and say we need to reach and take a guard in the first when the elite guards in the league are mostly taken in the 3rd or later (and the first rounders were taken at the very end of the first round).
Just trying to show that taking a guard in the first is not the end all be all of the “upgrade guard” discussion. Solid starters can be had in the 2nd or 3rd round of this years draft, and Boling might (I think he will) start for us next year.
completely agree after Decastro pretty even
IF Decastro and Richardson are gone I would be happy picking defense with both first rnds.
Only 7 guards drafted in the first round in the last 10 years
None higher than 15th. – Shows what the league thinks of them.
"Pawtucket Patriot Beer. If you drink it, hot women will have sex in your backyard."
the times they are a changin...
From 2004~2008
16 RB’s taken in round 1
5 interior O-Linemen taken in round 1
From 2009~2011
7 RB’s taken in round 1
6 interior O-Linemen taken in round 1
In the last 4 years, ONE running back taken in the top 10 picks
In the previous 4 years, FIVE running backs taken in the top 10 picks
In 2011, two interior linemen were taken before the first RB was drafted
I don't see that as a significant change in interior lineman taken,
but RBs have dropped for sure. So relative to interior linemen, I guess they have fallen, but teams aren’t generally taking more guards and centers early.
I'm throwin' rocks tonight! Mark it, Dude.
by Pardon_My_French on Feb 1, 2012 9:14 AM EST up reply actions
i want decastro
He will be gone, but he will instantly be a pro bowl caliber lineman. After that, I can wait for a guard in the second. I think if your drafting anyone in the first they need to be special, and have pro bowl potential. Richardson at running back, after that its equal with the rest, decastro at guard, equal after that. So if they are both gone I think both should wait.
by JCompton41 on Jan 31, 2012 7:22 PM EST via mobile reply actions
+1
If DeCastro is gone, there are no Guards that are a good value at #17 overall.
But then again, if Richardson is gone, there are no good RB’s that are a good value at #17 overall, either.
Hence why I'm slowly becoming a fan of best available CB and then BPA with our second pick.
Since it’s highly unlikely Richardson and DeCastro will be there, that seems like a good use of our picks.
"It’s time people started realizing just how good a player Carlos Dunlap already is, and that starts with the Bengals. They gave him a season-high 58 snaps and what was the result? Carnage on the right side of the Seattle line." -Pro Football Focus
by Doc Scratch on Jan 31, 2012 10:29 PM EST up reply actions
lol
so what special player or sure pro bowl player do you see available at 17 and 21
a few
Konz, kulichey, Jenkins, barron. My point was don’t spend a 1st on someone who you think is average just because of need.
by JCompton41 on Feb 1, 2012 8:52 AM EST via mobile up reply actions 1 recs
Only guard I'd take in the 1st would be DeCastro
There’s more O-line talent in the draft this year than last, and there’ll be many good 2nd-4th round linemen.
Paul Brown Stadium, where everyone's hopes go to die.
I've said it from the beginning...
If I was in charge and DeCastro was there at 17, the commissioner would say, “The Cincinnati Bengals are on the cl… The Cincinnati Bengals select David DeCastro.” If DeCastro is gone (which is most likely) I’m not reaching on interior OL because there will be some good ones available in the second and third. Hell, I’ve seen some people have Osemele falling to our pick in the second. I’m fine waiting, but if DeCastro is there I want him because he’s just that good.
Cincy Jungle: Where the Rocky Mountains are in the Pacific Ocean
by sexsalad on Jan 31, 2012 8:46 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
and you’re 100% spot on.
CincyJungle.com Contributor for the NFL Draft
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by Joe Goodberry on Jan 31, 2012 8:56 PM EST via Android app up reply actions
even if osemele isnt
Someone like amini silstolu probably will.
by JCompton41 on Jan 31, 2012 9:55 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Please please please digest this information and THINK about it. Don’t forget that Boling is a 4th round pick and could turn into a very good starter.
And Bernard Scott is a 6th round pick and could turn into a very good starter.
And the relevance of Boling coming from the 4th round is….?
All 4th round guards are beasts
I thought you knew
Late round picks only matter if they are playing in NE
"A team is more than a group of individuals,its a group of individuals that come together to make a team"
Point is exactly what I said...
That he was a 4th round pick (as in, not just a random dude… he graded fairly high as a developmental starter) and that he could turn into a very good starter. I’m not saying we should take a RB in the first. I’m just saying we SHOULDN’T take a guard if DeCastro is gone. It would be a reach and a bad draft strategy.
And I can’t see Scott turning into a very good starter. We saw a lot of him this year and he didn’t really show anything. What are you basing that opinion off of?
non of us are nfl scouts
So us saying people like konz and Glenn are not first round talents means nothing. If the bengals front office say Glenn is a perenial probowl guard, who am I to argue.
by JCompton41 on Jan 31, 2012 9:58 PM EST via mobile reply actions
because said front office thought antonio bryant was worth $7 million a year
"It’s time people started realizing just how good a player Carlos Dunlap already is, and that starts with the Bengals. They gave him a season-high 58 snaps and what was the result? Carnage on the right side of the Seattle line." -Pro Football Focus
by Doc Scratch on Jan 31, 2012 10:32 PM EST up reply actions
Whats funny is thats about the price range it would cost to get
NICKS or GRUBBS!!!!
they also drafted green, dalton
Adkins, dunlap. And signed people like Lawson, Howard and traded for Leonard and nelson. If gruden says Glenn is who he wants, and will solidify his line, draft him.
by JCompton41 on Feb 1, 2012 8:55 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
So if Gruden says Martin is his guy at 21 and says to draft him-
would that be something that you would be against?
not at all
Martin won’t fall to the second. If Martin fits what gruden wants at running back, and I’m also going on the fact that if Gruden makes that call, he sees that player, be it Martin or Glenn, as a player who is a good enough to make a few pro bowls in his system. Or in glenns case be a very good starter at guard, because lineman in cincy won’t make the pro bowl.
by JCompton41 on Feb 1, 2012 11:40 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
I'm not saying that they haven't improved, just that I don't 100% trust their judgment yet.
Well, scratch that, I do trust Gruden to an extent. Green and Dalton are the obvious reasons, the jury is (and still should be) out on Boling, and Whalen turned into a decent pick-up for a sixth rounder after Caldwell went down.
"It’s time people started realizing just how good a player Carlos Dunlap already is, and that starts with the Bengals. They gave him a season-high 58 snaps and what was the result? Carnage on the right side of the Seattle line." -Pro Football Focus
when it comes to drafting talent
Marvins always been good, but when it comes to getting the most out of said talent, or keeping said talent out of jail, no so good.
by JCompton41 on Feb 1, 2012 10:57 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
not like the bengals have that many scouts
the front office could just spend 9.95 a year to access a few scouting websites like we do too..
(sorry feeling mean this morning, haven’t had my coffee)
"the bengals are not a west of the 104 longitude team."
what? We're all scouts
at least in our minds :-)
I hate it when Ephram uses data & facts to refute my unfounded opinions....No chocolate chip cookies for him!!!
I couldn't agree with you more
I’ll even add to the list with Brandon Brooks, Amini Silatolu, Antoine Mcclain. With the players listed above thats a lot of guards to choose from from 2nd round on.
Not to mention there's also a lot of tackles that could turn into good guards also.
Paul Brown Stadium, where everyone's hopes go to die.
no doubt
the idea draft for cincy in the 1st round, at least most of us hope, is come away with 2 quality starters at 17 and 21. guys that walk in and contribute from day one. not bench players or guys that need 2-4 years to develop either.
"the bengals are not a west of the 104 longitude team."
for me its not a "don't take position X in the 1st round"
rather, don’t overreach in the 1st round. if decastro is gone by 17, is there really another G in the draft worthy of a 1st round pick? not sold on glenn in the 1st. mike adams or peter konz are worth the 21st pick but do they help the address the bengal’s need at guard?
"the bengals are not a west of the 104 longitude team."
The reason Konz is valued ok at 21 is because it would be value as a center.
As a guard that value drops to very end of the first round or early second.
I tend to agree with you guys
Decastro, I’d definitely take in first, Kontz is possible and everyone else I’d wait until the 2nd
Peter Konz is as good as the Pouncey brothers. He is the best player on the Wisconsin OLinie
He plays like a G pulling and blocking where we are picking he will be a BPA. If we wait til 2nd round there are at least 6 teams that pick before 53 who want interior Oline IMO there are 6 G that would be good enough to start if this is the case we’d be better off getting Jeremy Zuttah in FA and letting him and Boling fight it out for LG starting spot.
I want Konz!!!!!
AD to AJ = TD!!
by Toasted_Orange_Monster on Feb 1, 2012 10:32 AM EST up reply actions
Despite recent appearances
Of minor improvement from our scouts, I still don’t trust them. If Boling ends up becoming something eventually, great, but I have zero faith in our coaching staff to make him get there, and he looked like putrid garbage on the field this year. Maybe he’ll improve in time. Maybe the lockout truly did hold him back and with a proper offseason he’ll be better. Maybe… but I’m not holding my breath.
We have a desperate need for an improvement on the OL. Especially the interior, but even the exterior could use improvement too. Still, I think Cook is probably “good enough” if he has some better guards beside him, and Whit is also at least “good enough” if he doesn’t have to worry about Livings and can concentrate only on the DE/OLB he is primarily responsible for. Jury’s still out on Smith. Maybe he just needs help from a back/TE to chip on every play. Maybe something else is the answer. Not sure. Either way, the OTs are at least adequate, and that’s about 10 times better than the putrid garbage we have at the OG position.
Now I don’t mind if we wait to draft our new guards in the 2nd or 3rd, because we could still get some pretty good guys at that point, but until and unless our scouts make immense improvement, I don’t want to trust the health and development of Andy to some 4th or 5th round flyer who might pan out… but might be even worse than Livings. Livings is bad enough, we don’t need anybody even worse.
Plus remember that Andy is only 6’2". He’s not Drew’s height, but he’s not THAT much taller. When you don’t have a 6’6"+ QB, it really helps to have at least “very good” guards in front of him, because he simply needs a bit more space to work with, and he needs his guards to be able to keep the pass rushers’ hands down as much as possible. It’s even more important if you want to run a west-coast-based offense, because you need to make sure you aren’t letting a free rusher get in Andy’s face in 1.2 seconds.
So while we don’t need a truly elite guard tandem the way Drew does, we do need to make major improvements in that area. And until/unless our scouts prove they’ve gone from idiots to geniuses overnight, I have zero faith in their ability to find that improvement in the 4th-7th rounds.
Exactly. Andy needs more room to throw; how many pass attempts were batted down because Livings or McGlynn couldn't contain their guys?
Paul Brown Stadium, where everyone's hopes go to die.
We don't "need" to take any position in the first round...
…but based on our team needs, the draft class, and the FAs available/likely to be pursued I’d say that guard is more of a priority than RB.
We have two servicable RBs under contract, both which many fans believe should get more playing time; there will be no shortage of RB FAs available who could be part of a RBBC tandem; there are, according to most scouting reports/drafts, several RBs which will most likely be drafted in the 2-3 rounds which could develop into solid RBs; Trent Richardson seems to be the only RB which is considered to be a “sure thing” first rounder and he will most likely be gone.
The Bengals offensive line is thin (we have some guys that have marginal talent or are aging/injury prone); the FA market is thin; there are several O-lineman expected to go in the first round that could be immediate starters.
I don’t think the Bengals should “reach” for anyone, but it just seems quite likely that the Bengals needs combined with what will most assuredly be available will coincide.
It's unusual...
…for players drafted out of the first round step into starting positions immediately and do so successfully (with Dalton being on obvious exception, but an exception nonetheless). Also, “hit rates” tend to be higher on the offensive line with regards to first round picks.
What it comes down to this—we have some major question marks on our offensive line, I’m not sure how comfortable I am putting Andy Dalton behind a questionable offensive line. I see OL as our most immediate and pressing need and the one which, if we draft in the first round, is most likely to produce the needed impact, given the alternatives. Is it guaranteed? Of course not, the NFL draft is pretty much a crapshoot, but given what we have and the FAs on the market, going OL, CB, then RB seems to be prudent.
I know what you are saying, but reaching for a guard in the first when the best guards
are rarely EVER taken in the first is a problem for me. The best guards each year are usually taken at the very end of round 1 if they are taken in round 1 at all. DeCastro may be gone for our pick, and if he is it would be a reach to take Glenn at 21. An immediate starter at guard can be found in the 2nd round in Osemele or Zeitler, and there is not hardly any dropoff between them and Glenn. If DeCastro is there at 17, however, by all means, pull the trigger.

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