Just reviewed sportsclubstats.com - interesting overview re: who dey playoff situation:
1. Almost impossible to think WhoDey misses the playoffs this year.
2. Almost impossible to think WhoDey doesn't win the AFCN.
3. There is almost no plausible situation that puts us in a Wild Card slot.
4. Stating the obvious, other than missing playoffs, worst possible place = #4 seed, playing the 2nd place AFCW team in the Wild Card round.
With 7 games remaining:
WIN 7 (13-3): Win division, 1st round bye guaranteed, 25% chance of #1 seed
WIN 6 (12-4): Win division, 1st round bye probability 70%. Minimal chance of #1 seed.
WIN 5 (11-5): Win division, 1st round bye 25%, 50% chance #3 seed, 25% chance #4 seed.
WIN 4 (10-6): Win division, 65% chance #4 seed. 30+% chance #3.
WIN 3 (9-7): Essentially the same as if goes 10-6
WIN 2 (8-8): 20% chance #4 seed, 80% chance misses playoffs
WIN 0 or 1: Miss playoffs
My predictions on rest of year:
At Baltimore: W
vs Cleveland: W
at San Diego: L
vs Indianapolis: W
at Pittsburgh: L
vs Minnesota: W
vs Baltimore: W* (unless we rest starters)
Knowing this team, they will come out breathing fire and beat a dejected Baltimore team on the road, essentially knocking them out of the race. They will then turn around and play strong at home against Cleveland. A Bye Week and the team loses focus, goes out to the west coast which is always a challenge and loses to San Diego. In the biggest game of the rest of the regular season, they turn around and crank it up at home, beating Indy. A division game on the road is never easy and we lose to the Steelers, then turn around and take the Vikes to the woodshed. Depending on how much the last game matters we may rest starters and take a Loss, but the game is winnable if it means something.
If we win at SD, we probably come home and lose to Indy.
If we lose to Cleveland, we probably beat SD.
Any way you slice it, I call 5 more wins, team finishes 11-5 and probably hosts a WC game.