The most likely trade partners to trade up to #21 would be a team in the later portion of round 1, or early round 2 who really wants somebody who would be available at our spot.
Pick #21 is worth 800 points, so I’m using that in consideration for trade value.
Looking at the draft order, for teams after us:
#22 STL – NO.
They have pick #16 & #22. There would be zero reason for them to trade from #22 to #21, because if they want a guy bad enough, they’ll take him at #16.
#23 MIN – YES.
They have pick #23 and #25. Then can afford to move up to #21, and still keep a 1st round pick. They have 11 picks due to the Harvin trade, and are desperate for a WR. If they really like DeAndre or Cordarelle, they could bite.
We would drop 4 spots, and acquire their early 4th
#25 (720) + #102 (92) = 812
#24 IND – NO.
They only have 5 picks this entire draft. They would have to give up their 1st and 4th and would only be left with 2 picks in the top 190. I can’t see them willing to drop to 4 total picks, just to move up 3 slots.
#25 MIN – see above
#26 GB – NO.
Actually I could see them eyeing a RB (Lacy?) and wanting to trade up to ensure they keep us from taking him. But Green Bay just doesn’t seem to jump around much on draft day.
#27 HOU – YES
. They have been desperately looking for a WR to pair with Andre Johnson
for a while. They might eye a good WR who fell, or could be looking defense. They also have 11 picks to play with.
We would drop 6 spots and acquire their late 3rd
27 (680) + 95 (120) = 800
#28 DEN – YES.
They signed Manning to play for now. If they see a guy who can help them now, it makes sense to jump up.
We would drop 7 spots and acquire their late 3rd
28 (660) + 90 (140) = 800
#29 NE – YES.
We worked well with them last year, and the move paid off for them. They could go for it again.
We would drop 8 spots and acquire their late 3rd
29 (640) + 91 (136) = 776
#30 ATL – MAYBE.
They have 11 picks in the draft this year to play with. Could be looking at a replacement for Michael Turner
or a TE to put in as Tony Gonzalez’s replacement. The way the #’s work out it would take 3 for 1 to make the trade pretty much even, since their picks are worth less – that would be the one deterrent to a trade.
We would drop 9 spots and acquire their late 3rd + late 4th
30 (620) + 92 (132) + 133 (45) = 797
#31 SF – YES.
Thanks to KC’s generous nature, they have 14 picks to play with this year. After last year’s flop of a 1st round pick, they could look to move up and secure a better quality player in round 1.
We would drop 10 spots and acquire their mid 3rd
31 (600) + 74 (220) = 820
#32 BAL – MAYBE.
They have 12 picks to play with, and definitely some holes to fill after losing a few good guys off the Super Bowl
team. Their biggest deterrent would be that the quality of their picks would require at least a 3 for 1.
We would drop 11 spots and acquire their late 3rd & probably a 4th in 2014
32 (590) + 94 (124) + ?? (80) = 800
I’m not sure I see the Bengals
trading out of round 1 completely. So I stopped looking with Baltimore.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Cincy Jungle's writers or editors.