Don't Bet On The Bengals At Home

Joe Robbins

Looking to place a bet on the Bengals? Don't let home field advantage convince you to put your money on the table.

Before reading on, keep in mind that this article isn't about the Bengals ability to win football games at Paul Brown Stadium. Instead, it's about their ability to cover the spread at Paul Brown Stadium. In the end, unless you're a huge gambler, covering the spread doesn't matter. The team's record is the only thing that does.

However, if you're a huge gambler and you're looking to make a quick buck, putting your money on the Bengals to cover the spread at home may not be the best get rich quick scheme.

The National Football Post came out with each team's average points above the spread while playing at home over the last 40 games in their own stadiums. The Bengals came in at No. 17, with an average of -0.4. That means they're a team you can't necessarily pick to win or lose at home when factoring in the spread.

The Ravens come in first place, averaging 5.2 points over the spread, making them the safest bet at home. The next teams on the list are the Packers (5.1), the Seahawks (4.2) and the Patriots (4.1). All of these teams would be safe bets to win at home more often than not.

At the bottom of the list is the Jaguars (-4.3) and just before them are the Buccaneers (-3.7), the Raiders (-3.6) and the Chiefs (-3.5). These are teams you can usually bet will not cover the spread at home, whether they win or lose.

The problem with the teams in the middle, like the Bengals, Eagles and Cardinals, is the fact that they're unpredictable when it comes to their ability to cover the spread at home. They may win more often than not at home (20-19-1 in their last 40 home games), but they don't cover the spread as much as they win (17-21-1 against the spread).

So, next time you're in Vegas and you're looking to place a bet on the Bengals, don't put your money down just because the Bengals are at home.

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