In this year’s draft it seemed that the Bengals totally bombed the 7th round, and their 6th round seemed a little misguided.
But those are late round picks. Most late round picks don’t make the team anyway, correct?
So how have the Bengals done in drafting late round picks?
How does their drafting compare with the rest of the league?
Looking at the last 5 drafts from 2008~2013 (because I don’t have the time to look back any farther), I looked at 2 measurements of how well a team drafted in rounds 6 and 7:
1 – What % of their picks have averaged playing 10 or more games per season?
This doesn’t have to be starting.
This doesn’t have to be playing their position – it could be special teams.
It just means that the player has to been good enough to actually get onto the field.
It’s a measure that the pick isn’t a total dud.
2 – What % of their picks have averaged starting 5 or more games per season?
Does the pick ever start at their position?
They only have to start 1/3 of the time to fulfill this requirement.
It’s a measure that the pick is of solid quality.
So I’m looking for a basic feel if the picks are actually contributing on the field.
And the results show....
6th and 7th round picks (2008~2013) who have PLAYED an average of 10 or more games per season:
Oakland, St Louis ... 67%
J’ville, Miami, New England ... 60%
Dallas, Arizona, Detroit ... 50%
Washington, Pittsburgh, NY Jets, Houston ... 40% ~ 49%
Philly, Atlanta, KC, Seattle, Minnesota ... 30% ~ 39%
Cleveland, Denver, Carolina, Chicago, San Fran, Buf, NY Giants, S.Diego, TB, Tenn ... 20% ~ 29%
Baltimore, Indy ... 10% ~ 19%
Cincy, Green Bay, New Orleans .. .ZERO %
The Bengals are one of the 3 worst teams in terms of finding guys who actually get on the field with any regularity late in the draft
6th and 7th round picks (2008~2013) who have STARTED an average of 5 or more games per season:
Houston ... 40%
PIT, DAL, DEN, JAX, MIA, NE, SEA ... 20% ~ 29%
NYJ, CLE, PHI, SF, MIN ... 10% ~ 19%
OAK, STL, ARI, DET, ATL, KC, CAR, CHI, BUF, NYG, SD, TB, TEN, BAL, IND, CIN, GB, NO ... 0%
The Bengals are among the bottom half of the league who struggle to find guys who contribute as starters in the late rounds.
So the Bengals have clearly not done a good job of drafting in the later rounds.
With the consistency of bad late picks, and the consistency of who is making the late picks, it seems obvious that a new late-round strategy is required.
And if the history of the Bengals struggles picking after round 5 hold true ... the grumbling about their late round picks in 2014 seems entirely justified.
Heck, given the Bengals’ success rate of ZERO picks playing 10 games per season, and ZERO picks starting 5 games per season... they could just randomly grab somebody from Cincy Jungle to draft those rounds for them, and the results wouldn’t be any worse. In fact, they could be better!