It should be another post about Dalton, but it’s not. Instead it’s a post about Mike Nugent. After 4 years, we’ve just kind of settled into the fact that he’s our kicker. Occasionally hurt, but perpetually ours. We know what it’s like to have bad kickers, which we had for many years before Graham showed up.
And after Graham had a few key misses at bad times, we were happy to see Graham replaced. But is Nugent really that great? Is he somebody that we should be excited about? Should we be thankful we have him, or should we be looking for a replacement? Nugent has been with the Bengals since 2010.
So comparing Nugent to the field (active kicker’s #’s from 2010) .
A Kicker should be able to nail these pretty much on demand. These are chip shots for an NFL kicker, and a 100% accuracy rate should be expected. About 1/2 of the kickers achieve this 100% accuracy, and almost all of them are in the 90%’s (sorry Hartley & Fortbath). Nugent is at 100%. So he’s in the top half of NFL kicker in achieving this mark.
This gets a little more difficult, as you’re starting to throw in some longer kicks. Only 1 kicker has a 100% success rate from this distance (Randy Bullock). And he has a very limited sample size. I’d consider 95% or better to be very good, as about 1/3 of the kickers achieved this rate.
About 1/2 of the kickers were between 90% ~ 94.9% About 1/10 of the kickers were in the upper 80’s, and a few down in the 70’s and low 80’s – ugh. Nugent is at 92.7%, which misses that top group, but puts him right about in the middle of NFL kickers over that span.
Ok, now we start to get a little more challenging. Anything still in the 90%’s would be pretty good. About 1/4 of the NFL kickers maintained a 90% rate or better , which looking at FG’s up to 49 yards. About 1/2 of the NFL kickers average in the 85%~89.9% range on kicks up to 49 yards. Nugent is in this group of NFL kickers in the 85%~89.9% range, but is at 85.9% which puts him below average of NFL kickers when kicking FGA’s up to 49 yards.
When looking at kicks this long, I’ve not combined these with the other kick #’s, but am separately looking at just 50+ yard attempts. It’s not really fair to throw these in, because a kicker with a powerful leg will attempt quite a few, and if they only hit 1/2 of them, that will drag down their average.
But if a kicker attempts very few of them (because they know they can’t make them), then their average will stay higher – since they aren’t attempting the very difficult kicks. So looking at long 50 yard attempts, any kicker who can hit one 3/4 of the time is doing something right. About 1/4 of the kickers can hit a 50+ FGA on 75% or more of their attempts.
About 1/2 of the kickers can hit a 50+ FGA on 50%~74% of the time About 1/4 of the kickers can hit a 50+ FGA on less than 50% or more of their attempts (anywhere from 20% up to 47%)
Nugent falls into the camp that hits 50+ FGA’s 50%~74% of the time. He is at 60%, which puts him right about in the middle of the NFL kickers.
So where does all this place Nugent? Pretty much right in the middle of the NFL kickers since he’s been a Bengal.
Not great. Not horrible. Just pretty much average.