Analyzing Andy Dalton's Fantasy Football Value

Andy Lyons

Whether he's a franchise quarterback or a serviceable starter will remain up for debate, as will his fantasy football value.

Much of the debate surrounding Andy Dalton this offseason has been his true value to the Bengals, and how much they should be willing to pay him in his next contract.

Dalton is entering a contract year having been to the playoffs each of the past three years, but has failed to win a game.

Whether he's a franchise quarterback or a serviceable starter will remain up for debate, as will his fantasy football value.

Dalton set career-highs in passing yards (4,293), passing touchdowns (33) and rushing yards (183) en route to finishing as the fourth-best quarterback last season in fantasy football.

To show Dalton’s fantasy value, only Denver’s Manning and Drew Brees tossed for more touchdowns, and his 4,293 passing yards ranked seventh-best in the NFL.

But that was under the tutelage of Jay Gruden, and all indications are is that Hue Jackson is going to scale Dalton's passing attempts down and put the ball in Giovani Bernard's and Jeremy Hill's hands.

That's going to lead to a drop in production, and thus, his projections for 2014 in terms of fantasy football are pretty low right now.

Here are some various 2014 fantasy rankings and projections for Dalton:

Fantasy Pros:

Rank

Player (team/bye)

Best

Worst

Ave

ADP

10

Tom Brady (NE/10)

4

15

9.9

10.0

11

Colin Kaepernick (SF/8)

5

17

10.6

12.0

12

Tony Romo (DAL/11)

7

15

11.2

11.0

13

Jay Cutler (CHI/9)

7

16

12.3

14.0

14

Russell Wilson (SEA/4)

7

18

12.9

13.0

15

Philip Rivers (SD/10)

9

20

14.5

15.0

16

Ben Roethlisberger (PIT/12)

13

22

16.3

16.0

17

Andy Dalton (CIN/4)

13

22

17.8

17.0

18

Ryan Tannehill (MIA/5)

16

24

19.8

20.0

19

Johnny Manziel (CLE/4)

10

34

20.5

18.0

20

Alex Smith (KC/6)

14

29

20.4

26.0

FF Toolbox:

RANK

PLAYER

PROJECTED
FANTASY
POINTS*

10

Cam Newton

357.0

11

Russell Wilson

356.6

12

Tom Brady

353.1

13

Colin Kaepernick

346.6

14

Eli Manning

346.2

15

Tony Romo

346.0

16

Andy Dalton

332.1

17

Philip Rivers

325.6

18

Johnny Manziel

323.0

19

Ryan Tannehill

323.0

20

Ben Roethlisberger

308.2

CBS Sports:

Comp-Att Yards TD INT Rush Yds Rush TD
2014 Season - CBS Sports Average 328.5-529.5 3855.5 29.0 15.5 147.0 1.5
2014 Season - Dave Richard 323-516 3762 29 16 161 1
2014 Season - Jamey Eisenberg 334-543 3949 29 15 133 2

Number Fire:

Player

Pos. Rank

Nick Foles (QB, PHI)

#11

Robert Griffin III (QB, WSH)

#13

Colin Kaepernick (QB, SF)

#15

Ben Roethlisberger (QB, PIT)

#16

Sam Bradford (QB, STL)

#22

Philip Rivers (QB, SD)

#10

Tony Romo (QB, DAL)

#14

Carson Palmer (QB, ARI)

#21

Jay Cutler (QB, CHI)

#12

Alex Smith (QB, KC)

#18

Eli Manning (QB, NYG)

#19

Andy Dalton (QB, CIN)

#17

Ryan Tannehill (QB, MIA)

#20

ESPN:

10. Colin Kaepernick, SF QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

243/416

3197

21

8

92

524

4

253

2014 Projections

248/427

3378

22

11

101

474

4

266

11. Matt Ryan, Atl QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

439/651

4515

26

17

17

55

0

239

2014 Projections

419/627

4377

28

14

24

86

0

261

12. Tom Brady, NE QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

380/628

4343

25

11

33

18

0

241

2014 Projections

402/626

4287

26

9

24

21

1

261

13. Tony Romo, Dal QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

342/535

3828

31

10

20

38

0

252

2014 Projections

413/633

4654

28

15

23

29

0

264

14. Philip Rivers, SD QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

378/544

4478

32

11

28

72

0

276

2014 Projections

364/544

4392

28

12

26

45

0

261

15. Jay Cutler, Chi QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

224/355

2621

19

12

23

118

0

160

2014 Projections

302/485

3653

28

16

32

196

1

245

16. Ben Roethlisberger, Pit QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

375/584

4261

28

14

27

99

1

248

2014 Projections

319/511

3744

26

13

26

100

1

235

17. Andy Dalton, Cin QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS


2013 Statistics


363/586

4296

33

20

61

183

2


277

2014 Projections


317/520

3562

27

15

54

137

2


237

18. Eli Manning, NYG QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

317/551

3818

18

27

18

36

0

162

2014 Projections

340/550

3912

25

16

20

27

0

222

19. Carson Palmer, Ari QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

362/572

4274

24

22

27

3

0

209

2014 Projections

346/566

4191

23

17

19

23

0

221

20. Josh McCown, TB QB

YEAR

C/A

YDS

TD

INT

RUSH

YDS

TD

PTS

2013 Statistics

149/224

1829

13

1

13

69

1

131

2014 Projections

246/415

3365

22

10

20

87

1

210

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