Cincy Jungle: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:





Should we lower our expectations of Carson Palmer?

I have simple classifications for quarterbacks. You have bad quarterbacks that spend most of their time shouting "knock it off". You have the average quarterback that's specifically told, "do not lose the game". You have the good quarterbacks that put up pretty numbers -- and a lot of game ending picks. You have the great quarterbacks that win games and perhaps, a Super Bowl. Then you have the legendary quarterback that does what very few people have ever done in recorded NFL history.

It's a simple classification system that doesn't include the headache of understanding metrics or the overwhelming homerism that puts a player far beyond the landscape that he deserves.

I wanted to examine Palmer's numbers compared to his contemporaries in the AFC North -- minus the Baltimore Ravens because of McNair's injuries.

  Rating Yards Pct. TDs INT
B. Roethlisberger 102.2 1,533 64.6% (124-192) 15 6
D. Anderson 95.5 1,744 54.9% (119-209) 17 8
C. Palmer 90.7 1,922 64.3% (164-255) 14 9

Take away Palmer's Cleveland performance and his touchdown/interception ratio drops to eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. Just for comparisons sake, recently demoted Chad Pennington had nine touchdowns and seven picks. Just under half of his season-total touchdowns were scored in one game. A losing effort no less.

I'm not here to blame Palmer. Way off if that's your impression. I was one of the bandwagon members that quickly gave Palmer his "great" tag. His fourth season on the field, I've since degraded his tag to "good". Why? Well, he puts up pretty numbers. But he's not the quarterback that hog-ties his team around his back and leads them towards victory -- no matter the variables involved here.

If you're quick to find excuses, then that should automatically remove any chance towards the "great" tag. Right? Maybe not. For the sake of argument, without anything else other than the quarterback involved, has Carson Palmer lowered your expectation of him? Is the data still incomplete? Or do you think he's the reincarnation of Joe Montana?

Where does Carson Palmer fit? Is he good, great, legendary, bad or average? I'm very aware arguments like this avoid basic variables -- supporting staff, offensive system, injuries and suspensions. Since this season is going to drag out a little, I wanted to get a basic feeling of people's impressions of him at this point. A report card of sorts. Thoughts?

And don't worry. Just so you know, I'm not picking on Palmer here. If the season drags out like this, then we'll be examining the entire roster.

0 recs | Comment 8 comments

Story-email Email | Print |

Comments

Display:

It's funny, but...
...I was thinking the same thing Sunday. After about the 20th time Palmer dropped back and stood there...and stood there...and stood there...and stood there (all while I'm screaming "throw the damn ball, Palmer! at the TV), I turned to a friend and asked, "when did the Bengals trade for Drew Bledsoe"?

Seriously, all season he's been an immobile statue who holds onto the ball too long -- in other words, Bledsoe. Now that's not necessarily a bad thing, Bledsoe had some good years, but he's definitely a step or three down from Troy Aikman, another popular Palmer comparison.

by BeerRun on Oct 29, 2007 8:42 PM EDT   0 recs

hard to say
i think palmer's a future HOF quarterback and will have some great seasons left in him. Look at for sure HOF guys like Favre and you'll see that they have some mediocre seasons in them. I guess Palmer and the bengals in general are going through that

by cokane on Oct 30, 2007 1:16 AM EDT   0 recs

Wait a second
Are you suggesting that Palmer isn't really that much better than Palmer? You ought to trade in your stripes for such heresy.

The Bengals have played 5 defenses in the top third of the NFL in their 5 games (according to Football Outsiders). Only CLE and NYJ suck in that list of opponents.

The Bengals pass offense is 4th in the NFL (again, according to Football Outsiders). The Bengals are 20th in rush offense, 22nd in pass defense, 23rd in rush defense and 30th in special teams.

Picking on Palmer -- far and away the best thing the Bengals have going -- is just plain wrong. Palmer, Johnson, Housh and an above average pass blocking offensive line are the only things that give the Bengals any hope of winning from week to week.

Back to those rankings: man they do they depress me. I finally am of the opinion that Marvin isn't a genius after all. He probably needs to go (and soon), but it is going to take a few more disappointing seasons before it happens.

by gooden on Oct 30, 2007 1:22 AM EDT   0 recs

The System
First and foremost - where has the hurry up offense gone?  The only time I saw it last week in any kind of steady fashion was in the second half.  Why have the Bengals all but abandoned it for the most part?

Carson flourishes in the hurry up and it keeps an opponent's defense on the field - AND TIRED.  Routes start opening up underneath since the tired CB's will be playing our stud wideouts with more cushion.

Beating the coverages underneath will then allow for a much better vertical game - ie. - one on one.

One other thing - Carson doesn't feed the ball to Reggie Kelly and/or Jeremy Johnson enough.  They've got good hands too.  They need to make the opponent's defense account for Reggie and Jeremy also.  Most opponents can put it in the bank that the ball isn't going to Reggie or Jeremy on almost every down that they are in.  That little nugget provides better blitzing packages or better coverages for a defense.  

Is this Carson or is this a product of the offensive system?  I'm more ready to say that it is more of the system than it is Carson at this point.

by bjs73 on Oct 30, 2007 8:03 AM EDT   0 recs

The Hurry Up
"First and foremost - where has the hurry up offense gone?  The only time I saw it last week in any kind of steady fashion was in the second half.  Why have the Bengals all but abandoned it for the most part?"

The hurry up/no huddle has gone away because the defense sucks. They need to keep the O on the field as much as possible.

"Picking on Palmer -- far and away the best thing the Bengals have going -- is just plain wrong."

I don't see kirk picking on Palmer here, just wondering whether he's a bit more average than we all thought or hoped. Sadly, I think that may be true. We'll see.

by BeerRun on Oct 30, 2007 9:22 AM EDT   0 recs

RE:
No, not even close to picking on Palmer. I was wondering if your personal expectations of Palmer has dropped. Whether that's the system, the injuries, the personnel, etc.. what's your expectations of him right now? Do you expect him to win? Do you expect him do put out his best effort.

And like I said, since this appears to be a season that could drag a while, we'll examine others. I figured it was a good starting point to get the ol' noggin' rolling.

by Kirkendall on Oct 30, 2007 9:36 AM EDT   0 recs

Yes...
...my personal expectations of Palmer have dropped.

He is still a good QB, but he has been very one-dimensional: a classic drop-back passer with a great arm. Surround him with good protection and multiple weapons and you get the Palmer of 2005.

But he's not mobile, his decision-making is average and, most importantly, his play fake moves are terrible. He can't generate any misdirection.

So, when the protection and/or the weapons aren't all there -- as they haven't been for the last two seasons -- Palmer's plate is bare. He's not shown me that he's the kind of QB who can pick the team up and carry it on his shoulders.

Again, that doesn't make him a bad QB. Every quarterback's play is going to fall off to some extent if they lose key guys on the offense. But Palmer doesn't seem to have any tricks to pull out of his sleeve when that happens.

by BeerRun on Oct 30, 2007 12:23 PM EDT   0 recs

Palmer is suffering from the playcalling...
They aren't even trying to throw to the running back or the TE. A 3rd WR still hasn't shown up. And Brat may be able to draw up nice plays; but, if he can't find a way to get the ball to someone other than the 2 WRs, that are doubled all the time, then it's time to find someone who will.

Hopefully Perry came make an impact this week. Maybe they'll remember that Watson can catch the ball.

by sledridge on Nov 2, 2007 11:08 PM EDT   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about the Cincinnati Bengals.
Ad-medium-smq

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Fast_plane_bengal_small
Bengals Web Site?
Atari_small
Geather's cousin in New Orleans
Wimbley_small
Cool MMORPG footballgame
Pgf_small
Alexander to the Bengals?
Curtis_isaac_small
One from the invites...
Dsc_0113_small
Keith Rivers
Atari_small
Buzz Bissinger is FIRED up.
Fast_plane_bengal_small
No RB picks vs Defense
Fast_plane_bengal_small
Jason Shirley
Curtis_isaac_small
Jason Shirley- Manchild.

Post New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini


Ad-banner-faketeams
Site Meter