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NFL Odds: Week 11 spreads, picks and analysis

We take a look at the NFL Week 11 odds while making picks against the spread.

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

The NFL Week 11 odds are out, and we're taking a look at all of the matchups. There will be 14 games this week with a pair of primetime matchups between playoff contenders.

The first of which features the 5-4 Miami Dolphins hosting the 5-4 Buffalo Bill on Thursday Night Football. Both teams are coming off a Week 10 loss, and another loss here will severely damage the loser's playoff hopes. This should be one of the more competitive TNF games we've seen in a year full of blowouts and snoozers.

The game of the week comes on Sunday Night Football, as the rising 6-3 Indianapolis Colts host the surging 7-2 New England Patriots. Both of these teams enter this game playing their best football after slow starts this year, as they've combined to win 12 of their past 14 games heading into this matchup.

Here's a look at all of the spreads and analysis, thanks to the help of SB Nation.


Point Spread

Pick Against The Spread


Buffalo at Miami (TNF)

MIA -4


Miami's o-line is depleted once again after Brandon Albert's injury. I'm picking Bills to win straight up.

Minnesota at Chicago

CHI -4.5


The Bears are a mess, but they're still good enough to win at home vs. a young Minnesota team.

Houston at Cleveland

CLE -3


Houston is starting Ryan Mallet...enough said.

Seattle at Kansas City

SEA -1


In their past two home games, Seattle has allowed the Giants and Raiders to be within one score in the 4th QTR. No reason to believe they'll win on the road vs. a surging Chiefs team they way Seattle is playing right now.

Atlanta at Carolina

CAR -2.5


Both of these teams are bad, but Carolina's front 7 dominants banged-up Falcons offensive line.

Cincinnati at New Orleans

NO -5.5


Bengals are 1-3 on the road, and Saints haven't lost two straight at home under Sean Peyton since 2009. Expect spread to rise.

Tampa Bay at Washington

WSH -6


The Redskins are playing better than their 3-6 record suggests. Tampa is playing exactly like their 1-8 record suggests.

Denver at St. Louis

DEN -8


The Rams don't have the firepower to keep within 10 points in my opinion.

San Francisco at New York Giants

SF -3


The Giants are fading while the 49ers are surging and coming off a road win over the Saints.

Oakland at San Diego

SD -8


Chargers bounce back at home after three straight losses and dominate winless Raiders.

Philadelphia at Green Bay

GB -4.5


Aaron Rodgers is playing lights-out football, and for all of their success, the Eagles still have a woeful secondary.

Detroit at Arizona

ARI -3


The Cardinals defense is peaking at the right time-right before facing a stout Detroit offense.

New England at Indianapolis (SNF)

IND -2


Indy is a different team at home, and Patriots' best win away from Foxborough is over Buffalo.

Pittsburgh at Tennessee (MNF)

PIT -4


Ben Roethlisberger isn't losing to Zach Mettenberger in primetime. Steelers aren't laying another egg after doing so vs. Jets.