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Much of the debate surrounding Andy Dalton this offseason has been his true value to the Bengals, and how much they should be willing to pay him in his next contract.
Dalton is entering a contract year having been to the playoffs each of the past three years, but has failed to win a game.
Whether he's a franchise quarterback or a serviceable starter will remain up for debate, as will his fantasy football value.
Dalton set career-highs in passing yards (4,293), passing touchdowns (33) and rushing yards (183) en route to finishing as the fourth-best quarterback last season in fantasy football.
To show Dalton’s fantasy value, only Denver’s Manning and Drew Brees tossed for more touchdowns, and his 4,293 passing yards ranked seventh-best in the NFL.
But that was under the tutelage of Jay Gruden, and all indications are is that Hue Jackson is going to scale Dalton's passing attempts down and put the ball in Giovani Bernard's and Jeremy Hill's hands.
That's going to lead to a drop in production, and thus, his projections for 2014 in terms of fantasy football are pretty low right now.
Here are some various 2014 fantasy rankings and projections for Dalton:
|
Rank |
Player (team/bye) |
Best |
Worst |
Ave |
ADP |
|
10 |
Tom Brady (NE/10) |
4 |
15 |
9.9 |
10.0 |
|
11 |
Colin Kaepernick (SF/8) |
5 |
17 |
10.6 |
12.0 |
|
12 |
Tony Romo (DAL/11) |
7 |
15 |
11.2 |
11.0 |
|
13 |
Jay Cutler (CHI/9) |
7 |
16 |
12.3 |
14.0 |
|
14 |
Russell Wilson (SEA/4) |
7 |
18 |
12.9 |
13.0 |
|
15 |
Philip Rivers (SD/10) |
9 |
20 |
14.5 |
15.0 |
|
16 |
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT/12) |
13 |
22 |
16.3 |
16.0 |
|
17 |
Andy Dalton (CIN/4) |
13 |
22 |
17.8 |
17.0 |
|
18 |
Ryan Tannehill (MIA/5) |
16 |
24 |
19.8 |
20.0 |
|
19 |
Johnny Manziel (CLE/4) |
10 |
34 |
20.5 |
18.0 |
|
20 |
Alex Smith (KC/6) |
14 |
29 |
20.4 |
26.0 |
|
RANK |
PLAYER |
PROJECTED |
|
10 |
Cam Newton |
357.0 |
|
11 |
Russell Wilson |
356.6 |
|
12 |
Tom Brady |
353.1 |
|
13 |
Colin Kaepernick |
346.6 |
|
14 |
Eli Manning |
346.2 |
|
15 |
Tony Romo |
346.0 |
|
16 |
Andy Dalton |
332.1 |
|
17 |
Philip Rivers |
325.6 |
|
18 |
Johnny Manziel |
323.0 |
|
19 |
Ryan Tannehill |
323.0 |
|
20 |
Ben Roethlisberger |
308.2 |
|
|
Player |
Pos. Rank |
|
Nick Foles (QB, PHI) |
#11 |
|
Robert Griffin III (QB, WSH) |
#13 |
|
Colin Kaepernick (QB, SF) |
#15 |
|
Ben Roethlisberger (QB, PIT) |
#16 |
|
Sam Bradford (QB, STL) |
#22 |
|
Philip Rivers (QB, SD) |
#10 |
|
Tony Romo (QB, DAL) |
#14 |
|
Carson Palmer (QB, ARI) |
#21 |
|
Jay Cutler (QB, CHI) |
#12 |
|
Alex Smith (QB, KC) |
#18 |
|
Eli Manning (QB, NYG) |
#19 |
|
Andy Dalton (QB, CIN) |
#17 |
|
Ryan Tannehill (QB, MIA) |
#20 |
ESPN:
|
10. Colin Kaepernick, SF QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
243/416 |
3197 |
21 |
8 |
92 |
524 |
4 |
|
253 |
|
2014 Projections |
|
248/427 |
3378 |
22 |
11 |
101 |
474 |
4 |
|
266 |
11. Matt Ryan, Atl QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
439/651 |
4515 |
26 |
17 |
17 |
55 |
0 |
|
239 |
|
2014 Projections |
|
419/627 |
4377 |
28 |
14 |
24 |
86 |
0 |
|
261 |
12. Tom Brady, NE QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
380/628 |
4343 |
25 |
11 |
33 |
18 |
0 |
|
241 |
|
2014 Projections |
|
402/626 |
4287 |
26 |
9 |
24 |
21 |
1 |
|
261 |
13. Tony Romo, Dal QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
342/535 |
3828 |
31 |
10 |
20 |
38 |
0 |
|
252 |
|
2014 Projections |
|
413/633 |
4654 |
28 |
15 |
23 |
29 |
0 |
|
264 |
14. Philip Rivers, SD QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
378/544 |
4478 |
32 |
11 |
28 |
72 |
0 |
|
276 |
|
2014 Projections |
|
364/544 |
4392 |
28 |
12 |
26 |
45 |
0 |
|
261 |
15. Jay Cutler, Chi QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
||||||||||||
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
224/355 |
2621 |
19 |
12 |
23 |
118 |
0 |
|
160 |
||||||||||||
|
2014 Projections |
|
302/485 |
3653 |
28 |
16 |
32 |
196 |
1 |
|
245 |
|||||||||||||
|
16. Ben Roethlisberger, Pit QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
||||||||||||
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
375/584 |
4261 |
28 |
14 |
27 |
99 |
1 |
|
248 |
||||||||||||
|
2014 Projections |
|
319/511 |
3744 |
26 |
13 |
26 |
100 |
1 |
|
235 |
|||||||||||||
17. Andy Dalton, Cin QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
363/586 |
4296 |
33 |
20 |
61 |
183 |
2 |
|
277 |
|
2014 Projections |
|
317/520 |
3562 |
27 |
15 |
54 |
137 |
2 |
|
237 |
18. Eli Manning, NYG QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
317/551 |
3818 |
18 |
27 |
18 |
36 |
0 |
|
162 |
|
2014 Projections |
|
340/550 |
3912 |
25 |
16 |
20 |
27 |
0 |
|
222 |
19. Carson Palmer, Ari QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
362/572 |
4274 |
24 |
22 |
27 |
3 |
0 |
|
209 |
|
2014 Projections |
|
346/566 |
4191 |
23 |
17 |
19 |
23 |
0 |
|
221 |
20. Josh McCown, TB QB |
YEAR |
|
C/A |
YDS |
TD |
INT |
RUSH |
YDS |
TD |
|
PTS |
|
|
2013 Statistics |
|
149/224 |
1829 |
13 |
1 |
13 |
69 |
1 |
|
131 |
|
2014 Projections |
|
246/415 |
3365 |
22 |
10 |
20 |
87 |
1 |
|
210 |