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Advanced statistics love Bengals RB Jeremy Hill

If you're aware of DYAR, DVOA, and Success Rate, staples of the Football Outsiders advanced metrics, then you're fully aware just how good Jeremy Hill is.

Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports

Jeremy Hill is one of the best running backs in the NFL... at least according to the advanced statistics provided by Football Outsiders -- the people that arrived before Pro Football Focus. And seriously, get those two in a room and see what happens. According to Football Outsiders' advanced statistics, Hill is second with a 76 DYAR, first with a 60.9 percent DVOA, and first with a success rate of 77 percent.

What's all of this mean?!


DYAR - Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement is the "value of the performance on plays where this RB carried/caught the ball compared to replacement level, adjusted for situation and opponent and then translated into yardage."

DVOA - Defense-adjusted Value Over Average is the "value, per play, over an average running back in the same game situations. The more positive the DVOA rating, the better the player's performance. Negative DVOA represents below-average offense."

And Success Rate "represents:

the player's consistency, measured by successful running plays (the definition of success being different based on down and distance) divided by total running plays. A player with higher DVOA and a low success rate mixes long runs with downs getting stuffed at the line of scrimmage. A player with lower DVOA and a high success rate generally gets the yards needed, but doesn't often get more.


If no other translation comes out of this, know that Hill is doing a good job for Cincinnati.

Pro Football Focus ranks Hill No. 12 at +2.6 overall.

After three games, the rookie has amassed 132 yards rushing on 26 carries (a 5.1 yard/rush average), putting him on pace for 704 yards rushing.