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Colts v Patriots and Packers v Seahawks: Expert Picks, Odds, Betting Trends, Predictions

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Everything you could possibly need to know for the NFC Championship between the Packers and Seahawks, followed by the AFC Championship between the Colts and Patriots.

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The Super Bowl is within reach for four NFL teams. For some players, this is the closest they'll ever get to playing for a Lombardi Trophy. And, let's face it, Conference Championship Sunday is one of the best days in all sports.

The Seattle Seahawks are on the verge of becoming repeat champions after hoisting the Lombardi last year. They're once again led by a suffocating defense that seems impenetrable at times. This, combined with arguably the best two-headed rushing attack with Marshawn Lynch and Russell Wilson. Those two combined for over 2,100 rushing yards this year, the most by any RB-QB tandem in the league.

They'll take on a Packers team that also knows what holding the Lombardi feels like. However, they haven't won it since 2011, and they'll look to change that this year with a win at Seattle, something they were unable to do in Week 1. During the first game of the season Seattle secured a 36-16 win, in a game that wasn't even close.

As for the AFC, New England plays host to the Colts in the AFC Championship. Like in the NFC, this is a rematch of a regular-season meeting that saw this week's host decimate the visitor. However, the Patriots won the first matchup in Indianapolis by a 42-20 margin.

Needless to say, the home teams are both heavy favorites in these two games. The Patriots opened up as 7-point favorites on most books, according to OddsShark, while the Seahawks are 7.5-point favorites.

Betting Trends

The Packers are just 2-6 SU as playoff underdogs in the past two decades, while the Seahawks have won eight straight as playoff favorites, going 5-2-1 ATS in the process, per OddsShark.

Seattle covered a 10.5-point spread at home in a 31-17 win over the Panthers in the divisional round, while Green Bay didn't manage to cover a 6-point spread at home in a 26-21 win over the Cowboys.

The Seattle Seahawks currently sport a record of 13-4, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 10-6-1 ATS. The Green Bay Packers are 13-4 and 9-7-1 ATS.

  • Green Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of Green Bay's last 21 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games
  • Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Seattle is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games
  • Seattle is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

New England blasted Indianapolis 42-20 as a 3-point road underdog in an OVER result for totals bettors back in Week 11 of the season, improving them to 3-0 both SU and ATS in the last three games between the teams, per OddsShark.

But the Patriots are winless (0-5 ATS) in conference championship round since 2005. They are 2-3 SU in those games and must cover a touchdown (the line early in the week at Bovada).

The home team has won and covered four prior playoff meetings of these teams, while the Pats are just 3-9 ATS as playoff favorites since 2008.

  • Indianapolis is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 games
  • Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
  • Indianapolis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • New England is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games
  • New England is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games at home

Expert Picks and Predictions

Unsurprisingly, the majority of experts are picking the Seahawks at home. Four of the six panelists at Fox Sports and six of the nine at CBS Sports are going with Seattle. At SB Nation, only Joel Thorman is picking the Packers.

The experts are also sticking with the Pats. Only three of the combined 14 panelists at CBS Sports and Fox Sports are going with Indy, and Ryan Van Bibber is the only man brave enough to pick the Colts at SB Nation.

Here's what the ESPN crew picked these two games:

espn