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Week 10 Texans vs Bengals: Odds, expert picks, analysis, predictions

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It's rare you see so many people picking one team in the NFL, but everyone is going with Cincinnati this week.

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The Cincinnati Bengals will look to keep their unbeaten streak rolling as they host the Houston Texans on Monday Night Football.

At 8-0, Cincinnati comes into this game as hot as any team in football. Four of their eight wins have come by 13-plus points, including their 21-point win over the Cleveland Browns in their most recent game. Their 28.6 points per game is the third-best rate of any team entering Week 10.

Meanwhile, Houston is coming off its bye week after beating the Tennessee Titans 20-6 on November 1. It was the Texans' second win in three games, though both came against teams below them in the AFC South. The other was against the Jacksonville Jaguars for their only road victory. It's a different ordeal when you're coming to the jungle as the Bengals are very hard to beat at home.

As Bengals.com's Geoff Hobson notes, Paul Brown Stadium has been very unfriendly to opposing teams and their quarterbacks in recent years.

PBS has been a hard sell for all kinds of quarterbacks in the Bengals' last 24 regular-season games, from Wal-Mart to Wall Street. They've thrown 10 more interceptions (35) than TDs (25) and have completed just 58.6 percent of their passes for barely six yards per throw culled from a struggling passer rating of 69.5.

From Tom Brady to Johnny Manziel, it's just been a miserable place to throw for the opposition in the last 24 games. Where the Bengals have won 67 percent of the time on third down. Where quarterbacks have been sacked 64 times and at least four times in 11 of the 24 games. Where only three have won since Nov. 11, 2012 in Cincinnati's 20-3-1 home stretch.

However, one of the quarterbacks to come into PBS and walk away with a win over that span is Brian Hoyer. Even he was held in check though when he helped the Browns get a 24-3 win in Cincinnati last season. He's now with the Texans and on a nice hot streak the Bengals will hope to cool off this Monday.

Only six opposing quarterbacks have had multiple TD pass games at PBS in the last 24 outings and one of them wasn’t Hoyer, who didn’t have to even throw a TD in a 152-yard rush effort. It should be an interesting matchup because Hoyer has a streak of five straight games with at least two TD passes. Only San Diego’s Philip Rivers has thrown for two TD passes against the Bengals at PBS this season.

Another thing the Texans have going for them is Johnathan Joseph playing like one of the NFL's best corners over the past month, as Bleacher Report's Brian McDonald writes:

Starting from the Week 3 game, Joseph is the Texans' highest-graded cornerback on Pro Football Focus and is the only one at the position on the team with a positive coverage rating. Rookie corner Kevin Johnson has played well also, but for at least this season, Joseph is still Houston's best player at the position.

Over the last six games, Joseph leads all Texans cornerbacks in completion percentage, quarterback rating, touchdowns allowed and passes defensed on throws into their coverage.

Joseph will be tasked with helping slow down a Bengals passing game that ranks seventh in passing yards per game (271) and second in yards per passing attempt (8.6). They've had great success against just about everyone they've faced, so it will be a hard task for the former Bengals cornerback to help slow them down Monday night.

The oddsmakers are really high on the Bengals in this matchup. It's rare you see an NFL team favored by double-digit points, but that's now been the case for two straight weeks. After being favored by 12.5 points over the Browns last week (and winning by 21), Cincinnati is favored by 12 points against Houston with an over/under of 47. Here are some of the recent betting trends for both the Bengals and Texans, courtesy of OddsShark.

  • Cincinnati is 7-0-1 against the spread in its last 8 games
  • Cincinnati is 5-0 straight up in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone over in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
  • Cincinnati is 4-0-1 against the spread in its last 5 games at home
  • Cincinnati is 5-0 straight up in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone over in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games at home
  • Houston is 3-6 against the spread in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone over in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
  • Houston is 1-3-1 against the spread in its last 5 games on the road
  • Houston is 1-4 straight up in its last 5 games on the road

As for who the experts are picking, everyone thinks the Bengals keep their perfect record intact.

  • Over at CBS Sports, all eight experts are going with Cincinnati.
  • All 13 experts at ESPN are picking the Bengals to down the Texans.
  • Everyone at SB Nation is picking the Bengals by a 7-0 edge.
  • FOXSports.com goes with the Bengals by an 8-0 margin as well.
  • Over at NFL Pick Watch, who keeps track of all expert picks across the web, Cincinnati is getting 100-percent of the expert picks going into Sunday.
It's rare you see so many people picking one team in a league full of parody, but everyone is going with Cincinnati this week. It's also safe to say Houston winning this game would be one of the bigger upsets this season so far, so let's hope all of these experts are right in picking the Bengals.