/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/45796184/usa-today-8178799.0.jpg)
The football tools site Fanspeak has a draft simulator called On The Clock, which fans can use to conduct a full 7-round mock draft for their favorite team. Its big board looks to be fairly accurate, but oftentimes, many high picks fall for no reason, which means it's a lot of fun to use.
After trying it a handful of times, I came up with this mock draft. Also, let's say that the Bengals receive a third-round compensatory pick for the loss of Michael Johnson, and a fifth-round compensatory pick for the loss of Anthony Collins, thus limiting options to those chosen in Fanspeak after the original third round and after the original fifth round, respectively.
Round 1 (#21): Dante Fowler Jr., OLB, Florida
Actual projection according to NFL Draft Scout: top-5 overall.
Round 2 (#53): Carl Davis, NT, Iowa
Actual projection according to NFL Draft Scout: round 2.
Round 3 (#85): Nelson Agholor, WR/RS, USC
Actual projection according to NFL Draft Scout: round 2.
Round 3 (comp, about #100): Danielle Hunter, DE, LSU
Actual projection according to NFL Draft Scout: round 1-2 (best 40 time among all DL at NFL Combine).
Round 4 (#117): Cedric Ogbuehi, OT, Texas A&M
Actual projection according to NFL Draft Scout: round 3 (was projected to be a middle-first-round pick just a few months ago, but tore his ACL in Texas A&M's bowl game).
Round 5 (#149): B.J. Finney, C, Kansas State
Actual projection according to NFL Draft Scout: round 3-4.
Round 5 (comp, about #165): MyCole Pruitt, TE, Southern Illinois
Actual projection according to NFL Draft Scout: round 4-5 (best 40 time among TE at NFL Combine).
Round 6 (#181): Quandre Diggs, CB, Texas
Actual projection according to NFL Draft Scout: round 5-6.
Round 7 (#213): Kenny Bell, WR/RS, Nebraska
Actual projection according to NFL Draft Scout: round 4.
With this Fanspeak dream draft, the Bengals would theoretically obtain:
- An immediate starter at OLB
- An immediate contributor and eventual starter at both NT and RDE
- Immediate contributors at both WR and returner
- An eventual starter at LT
- A challenger for starting C
- A #2 TE
- A nickel CB
I would cry tears of joy if the Bengals had this draft. They'd obtain a top-five overall prospect, and four additional players with first-round or second-round talent. Considering Diggs' projection has fallen only because of his limitation to the nickel (a scheme that the Bengals use frequently), this draft would give the Bengals nine total players who all have about fourth-round talent or better. Of course, a draft of this absurd magnitude will not realistically happen.
Yet if all those bullet points were legitimately addressed, there would still be remaining positions that could really use a draft pick, such as OG, ILB, 3-tech DT, and outside CB. And while QB is not necessarily a need now, it might be the top need after 2015.
Rey Maualuga will be making $7.2 million in 2015, and Emmanuel Lamur will be making $2.4 million. That ate up about 1/4 of the Bengals' true cap space, and about 30-40% of their "self-imposed" cap space assuming the Bengals keep roughly the same amount of reserve cap space as they normally do. The team has many important players hitting free agency, and understandably needs to extend a few of them now and save up for the others, and will not be able to retain them all. All of this hampers the Bengals' ability to sign prominent free agents away from other teams, something they were probably never planning to do anyway:
LRT - Bengals giving $7.2M to Maualuga in 2015. They really don't plan on spending their cap on outside free agents. Sad.
— Joe G (@JoeGoodberry) March 7, 2015
It's important to note that 12 out of the Bengals projected 22 starters are entering contract years. That severely limits any FA moves now.
— Brennen Warner (@JustBeWarned) February 11, 2015
Furthermore, the coaches have shown they cannot be trusted to evaluate their own players correctly *cough*PekoMaualuga*cough*. So they might not recognize certain needs in the first place, which would only hurt the team further.
The Bengals have proven that they are good enough to consistently make it to the playoffs, and there are plenty of other NFL teams (non-playoff teams) with worse rosters. However, the Bengals do have a long list of roster holes that isn't getting shorter. Unfortunately, the narrative that the team has a loaded roster and is very close to being a legitimate Super Bowl contender simply isn't true.
For that to change, a lot of things need to happen: the front office must have a great draft and begin to spend wisely in free agency, the coaches must wake up to the reality about various players they are misjudging, and certain key players on the team (chiefly Andy Dalton) must improve.