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Bengals vs Browns: Odds, expert picks, analysis, predictions for Week 7

The Bengals enter Week 7 as one of the biggest favorites of any NFL team.

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Cincinnati Bengals v Cleveland Browns Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

The Cincinnati Bengals will look to get back to their winning ways when the struggling Cleveland Browns come to the Queen City.

This week’s 86th renewal of the Battle of Ohio will feature a homecoming of sorts. The rebuilding Browns are winless under new head coach Hue Jackson, who spent seven seasons (2004-06 and 2012-15) coaching in Cincinnati during two stints.

Most recently, he was the Bengals offensive coordinator from 2014-15. In his most recent four-year stint with Cincinnati, he helped the Bengals to two division titles and a trip to the postseason all four seasons.

The historic series between the Bengals and the Browns, set to resume at Paul Brown Stadium, features two teams looking to turn their fading seasons around. Sitting at 0-6, the Browns are looking to avoid their worst start to a season since 1999.

But don’t let the lack of wins fool you. Cleveland has been rampaged by injuries and still been competitive, including at Tennessee last week, rallying from a 28-13 fourth-quarter deficit before falling 28-26.

While Cleveland is just looking for respectability, Cincinnati is looking to get back to the postseason. However, the Bengals are 2-4 with a two-game losing streak following last week’s 35-17 setback at New England. Their bid for a sixth straight playoff season will require a strong finish over their next 10 games, which begins with a very winnable game at home in Week 7.

Odds and Trends

The Bengals lead 46-39 in the Battle of Ohio and have won the last three games. Home-field advantage has been key the series, as the Bengals lead 28-15 at home but trail 18-24 as the road club.

The Bengals have won 17 of the last 23 meetings and lead 18-8 in games during the Marvin Lewis era, including 10-3 at home. All of this helps explain why the Bengals enter Week 7 as one of the biggest favorites.

Cincinnati is currently a 10.5-point favorite in a league where it’s rare you see a team ever favored by double digit points. Here are some recent betting trends, courtesy of OddsShark.

Cincinnati is 1-5-2 against the spread in its last 8 games

Cincinnati is 1-4 straight up in its last 5 games

Cincinnati is 1-3-1 against the spread in its last 5 games at home

Cincinnati is 17-7-1 straight up in its last 25 games at home

Cincinnati is 4-1 against the spread in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Cincinnati is 4-1 straight up in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Cleveland is 4-12-1 against the spread in its last 17 games

Cleveland is 0-5 straight up in its last 5 games

The total has gone over in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Cleveland is 3-6 against the spread in its last 9 games on the road

Cleveland is 0-5 straight up in its last 5 games on the road

The total has gone under in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road

The total has gone under in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Cincinnati is 6-1 straight up in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

The total has gone under in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Expert Picks

Most experts think the Bengals will win handily against their in-state rival.

It’s safe to say the Bengals are heavy favorites this week, which seems fair all things considered. Even though Cincinnati is 2-4, they’ve had ‘good’ losses to playoff contenders like Pittsburgh, Dallas, and New England on the road.

That’s not even accounting for all of the injuries Cleveland has, which now includes star corner Joe Haden (doubtful for Sunday) and do-it-all receiver Terrell Pryor (questionable for Sunday) possibly being out.

The Bengals, on the other hand, are as healthy as they’ve been this season, and Pro Bowl tight end Tyler Eifert could be returning to the lineup.

All of this is why it would be a major surprise if the Browns win on Sunday.