Bovada has released odds for the Bengals’ statistical performances this year and if you’re into betting, there are some safe bets here.
In 2015, Andy Dalton played in only 12 and 1⁄4 games and threw for 3,250 yards, 25 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. The under/over for Dalton in passing yards this season is only 500 yards greater than that total. The under/over for his touchdown passes is 25.5, .5 more than he had last year. So, if you believe Dalton is going to have an equally good, or even slightly worse season than he had last year, you might want to take the over on these bets.
I’m of the belief that Jeremy Hill is about to have a bounce-back season and dominate in the run game this year. If you subscribe to that belief, you’re definitely going to want to take the over on his total rushing and receiving touchdowns for the season. In 2014, Hill had 9 touchdowns and in 2015 he had 11 rushing touchdowns and 1 receiving touchdown. Bovada has the over/under for Hill’s total touchdowns at 7.5. So, if you think the guy who has led the NFL in rushing touchdowns over the past two seasons is going to take a turn for the worse this year, you might go with the under, but, for the rest of us, the over seems like a safe choice.
For Giovani Bernard, Bovada's betting lines are less safe. The over/under for his rushing yards total is higher than he's ever rushed for in one NFL season and the under/over on his touchdown total is greater than his touchdown total last year. I like their confidence in Bernard, but, those are certainly not as win-friendly as some of the other Bengals-related prop bets here.
A.J. Green's odds via Bovada are an under/over of 1,150 receiving yards, under/over of 9 touchdowns and an under/over of 87.5 receptions. That's 1.5 more receptions than he had in 2015 but less yards and touchdowns, and that was with AJ McCarron throwing him the ball for 3 3/4 games. With Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu gone as well as Tyler Eifert injured, I’d venture to say Green’s receptions will increase in 2016. There have only been two seasons in which Green didn’t top the over for receiving yards: his rookie year and 2014 when he was injured and only played in 13 games. That seems like a good option to bet on, too.
On the defensive side of the ball, the under/over for Carlos Dunlap's sack total is 8.5 while Geno Atkins' is 7.5. In 2015, Dunlap totaled a franchise-high 13.5 sacks while Atkins added 11. Atkins actually has the most sacks by a defensive tackle over the last five years with 40. The defensive stats are a little harder to predict than those for the offense, and betting on the defense will be the same.
Lastly, the under/over for win total is 9.5. Again, I’d take the over. But, as a warning, I don’t recommend you take my advice to Vegas.
Here are Bovada’s odds for the Bengals’ statistics in 2016:
Andy Dalton - Total Passing Yards in the 2016 Regular Season
Andy Dalton - Total TD Passes in the 2016 Regular Season
Andy Dalton - Total Interceptions in the 2016 Regular Season
Jeremy Hill - Total Rushing Yards in the 2016 Regular Season
Jeremy Hill - Total Rushing & Receiving TD's in the 2016 Regular Season
Giovani Bernard - Total Rushing & Receiving Yards in the 2016 Regular Season
Giovani Bernard - Total Rushing & Receiving TD's in the 2016 Regular Season
A.J. Green - Total Receiving Yards in the 2016 Regular Season
A.J. Green - Total Receptions in the 2016 Regular Season
A.J. Green - Total Receiving TD's in the 2016 Regular Season
Carlos Dunlap - Total Sacks in the 2016 Regular Season
Geno Atkins - Total Sacks in the 2016 Regular Season
Bengals win total - 2016 Regular Season