The New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons feature two of the best offenses in the NFL and two quarterbacks who are in the running for NFL MVP. Last week’s Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Divisional Round game featured an unusually high under/over total for a playoff game of 61.5. And still, the score went over, with 65 points scored.
BookMaker.eu has released some interesting betting trends this season for both Super Bowl LI and records of note that could be broken in Houston on Sunday. Some of these odds include whether any player will break the Super Bowl record of 13 receptions and whether any player will break the Super Bowl record of 150.92 passer rating?
During the regular season, the New England Patriots went 13-3 against the spread, which was historic in itself. The last team to cover 13 games in the regular season and win the Super Bowl was New England, which they achieved during their 2003 championship campaign. That postseason, the Patriots went just 1-2 against the spread during the playoffs.
The last time a team covered 16 games in a season, including the playoffs, was the 1989 San Francisco 49ers who won the Super Bowl that season, their second straight Super Bowl win after beating the Bengals in the prior year’s Super Bowl. The 1989-1990 49ers team went 13-3 ATS during the regular season and 3-0 ATS in the playoffs. The Patriots have a chance to match that historic record by covering on Super Bowl Sunday after going 2-0 ATS in the postseason this year.
As for the Falcons, they played to a 13-3 over-under mark during the regular season. They are 2-0 over-under in the NFL Playoffs this postseason. Atlanta is the first team to cash the over in 15 games since the 1997 Denver Broncos, who won the Super Bowl that season. The Broncos needed 20 games that season in order to reach 15 overs while the Falcons have a chance to become the first team in NFL history to cash 16 overs. Clearly, we’re talking about an explosive offense when discussing the Falcons, led by Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman.
Super Bowl champions’ ATS records
With both teams sporting a 2-0 ATS mark in the playoffs, one of the two Super Bowl teams could become the 11th team in NFL Playoffs history to win the Super Bowl while covering every game. Below are the teams that did so.
- 2012 Baltimore Ravens, 4-0 SU/ATS
- 2011 New York Giants, 4-0 SU/ATS
- 2010 Green Bay Packers, 4-0 SU/ATS
- 2007 New York Giants, 4-0 SU/ATS
- 2006 Indianapolis Colts, 4-0 SU/ATS
- 2005 Pittsburgh Steelers, 4-0 SU/ATS
- 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 3-0 SU/ATS
- 2000 Baltimore Ravens, 4-0 SU/ATS
- 1998 Denver Broncos, 3-0 SU/ATS
- 1997 Denver Broncos, 4-0 SU/ATS
- The Patriots have a team total in Super Bowl 51 of 30.5 points. They've scored 30 or more points just once in their eight all-time appearances in the Super Bowl.
- No Super Bowl has featured 58+ points since Super Bowl 47 between the 49ers and Ravens. That game sailed past the total of 48 points. Only eight of the 50 prior Super Bowls have reached at least 58 points.
- This is only the 10th time that the Super Bowl has featured a total of at least 50. Only three of the 10 have gone over the total. (The total is currently set at 58.5-59.5 for most sports books.)
- This is the first time an AFC team has been favored in the Super Bowl since Super Bowl 48, and if the Patriots do win and cover this game, it will be the first time an AFC team has covered a Super Bowl as a favorite since Super Bowl 41. AFC teams have been favored five times since that point and they are just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in said games, including two New England losses in the Super Bowl to the Giants.
- This will be the eighth consecutive Super Bowl with a pointspread of a touchdown or less, and the fifth time in the last seven seasons that the spread in the Super Bowl was three points or fewer.
Prop odds to break Super Bowl records:
Will any player break Super Bowl record of 414 passing yards?
Will any player break Super Bowl record of 215 receiving yards?
Will any player break Super Bowl record of 204 rushing yards?
Will any player break Super Bowl record of 6 touchdown passes?
Will any player break Super Bowl record of 13 receptions?
Will any player break Super Bowl record of 4 sacks?
Will any player break Super Bowl record of 13 tackles?
Will any player break Super Bowl record of 4 field goals?
Will any player break Super Bowl record of 150.92 passer rating?
Will either team break Super Bowl of 45-point largest margin of victory?
Will either team break Super Bowl of 55 points scored?
Will both teams combine to break Super Bowl record of 10 touchdowns?