Bengals vs. Jaguars: Odds, experts picks and predictions

The Bengals are playing the Jaguars at home. This feels like a winnable game when you consider that Jacksonville is only 2-4, coming off their worst performance of the season, and the Bengals are actually playing at home. Still, the oddsmakers and experts did not see it that way.

Odds

The Bengals are currently four-point underdogs, according to Bovada. The Bengals actually being underdogs at home says quite a bit about this team. Usually if teams are viewed as an even match the home team is deemed a three-point favorite to make it more appealing to take the away team and even out the bets.

One bet that seems pretty favorable at the moment is the over/under being set at 43.5. Only two Bengals games have surpassed that total. One was when the 49ers scored 41 points all by themselves, and the other came the only time the Bengals scored over 20 points this season.

Betting trends

• Cincinnati is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games.
• The total has gone under in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
• Cincinnati is 0-8 straight up in their last eight games.
• Cincinnati is 1-7 against the spread in their last eight games at home.
• Cincinnati is 0-6 straight up in their last six games this season.
• Cincinnati is 0-5 straight up in their last five games against an opponent in the AFC conference.
• The total has gone under in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 15 games against an opponent in the AFC South division.
• Cincinnati is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games played in October.
• The total has gone over in seven of Cincinnati’s last 10 games played in week 7.
• The total has gone under in six of Jacksonville’s last nine games.
• Jacksonville is 4-14 straight up in their last 18 games.
• Jacksonville is 1-4 straight up in their last five games against Cincinnati.
• Jacksonville is 2-8 straight up in their last 10 games on the road.
• Jacksonville is 2-4 straight up in their last six games this season.
• The total has gone under in four of Jacksonville’s last six games against an opponent in the AFC conference.
• Jacksonville is 8-0-1 against the spread in their last nine games against an opponent in the AFC North division.
• Jacksonville is 0-6 against the spread in their last six games played in October.

Expert predictions

• Fox Sports is predicting a 29 to 22.4 point loss for the Bengals
• Only two of ESPN’s 10 experts are taking the Bengals
• CBS Sports has six of their eight experts going with the Jaguars to win on the road
• Only one of SB Nation’s experts (our very own Jason Marcum) went with the Bengals to pull off the upset at home. (Astro the good dog also took Cincinnati)
• NFL Pick Watch, which takes into account picks from across the web, has the Bengals receiving 19 percent of the picks.

The Bengals seem like they could be a popular upset pick this week among experts either needing to make up ground in picks or looking for an eye catching pick. They are the home team against a 2-4 team, but the Bengals haven’t done much to show they are worthy of any confidence.

When you add on the fact that the Bengals aren’t getting Cordy Glenn (suspension) or A.J. Green (still recovering from injury) back this week, it doesn’t really make them look like any more attractive of a pick.