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Bengals at Washington Football Team: Betting trends, expert picks and predictions

The experts and oddsmakers like the Bengals chances this Sunday.

Cleveland Browns v Cincinnati Bengals Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images

The Bengals are facing a fellow two-win team in the Washington Football Team. That has led the oddsmakers and experts to have a little more faith in Cincinnati this week than the past few games they’ve played. Maybe the Bengals picking up a win here could kick off a nice momentum build for this team.

Odds

The Bengals are currently one-point underdogs against Washington, according to Bovada. That is a still a pretty favorable line to Cincinnati considering they have haven’t won a road game their last 14 tries. Then again, Washington has struggled just as much this season as the Bengals.

The over/under being set at 47 is pretty interesting. At first, you may think about hammering that bet considering how the Bengals offense has played behind rookie Joe Burrow in most games. However, the Football team has been kind of a wild card about their scoring. That will happen when your quarterback position has the stability of a turnstile. Alex Smith has a great story, but is he a guy who can lead Washington to 20 or more points? The over is more appealing, but it isn’t as confident a bet as it normally would be.

Betting trends

  • Cincinnati is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games.
  • The total has gone over in five of Cincinnati’s last six games.
  • Cincinnati is 1-4 straight up in their last five games.
  • Cincinnati is 4-1-1 straight up in their last six games against Washington.
  • Cincinnati is 0-16-1 straight up in their last 17 games on the road.
  • The total has gone over in four of Cincinnati’s last five games this season.
  • Cincinnati is 0-5-1 straight up in their last six games against an opponent in the NFC.
  • Cincinnati is 14-5 against the spread in their last 19 games against an opponent in the NFC East.
  • The total has gone over in seven of Cincinnati’s last nine games played in November.
  • Washington is 3-8-1 against the spread in their last 12 games.
  • Washington is 1-7 straight up in their last eight games.
  • Washington is 3-14 straight up in their last 17 games at home.
  • Washington is 1-4 SU in their last five games this season.
  • Washington is 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six games against an opponent in the AFC.
  • The total has gone over in seven of Washington’s last eight games against an opponent in the AFC North.
  • Washington is 1-5 against the spread in their last six games played in November.
  • The total has gone over in five of Washington’s last five games played in week 11.

Expert picks

  • Seven of ESPN’s 10 experts are taking the Bengals
  • SB Nation has six of their 10 experts going with Cincinnati
  • CBS Sports has five of their seven experts taking the road underdogs
  • NFL Pick Watch, which takes into account expert picks from across the web, has the Bengals receiving 69 percent of the picks.

It feels like it has been a long time since the Bengals were receiving the majority of picks from the experts. It is kind of surprising when the team is coming off one of their worst games of the season and how they’ve played on the road lately. Still, Burrow is obviously the better quarterback, and he shouldn’t be playing with extremely high winds this week. Not to mention Cincinnati usually finds themselves in more games than not. There is reason to believe they can get over the hump against a fellow team that is struggling to find momentum.

Prediction

It feels like whenever you go to talk about how well the Bengals will perform on Sunday, it starts with how Burrow will do. That is just the way this league works now, and we saw the ups and downs a rookie quarterback shouldering a young team an have in the past two games. We saw Cincinnati upset a Titans team only to return from a bye week and get squashed by the Steelers. That is just what we should expect from Burrow this season, but still understand that he is light years beyond where he should be considering how this offseason was shortened with COVID-19.

Despite Washington’s highly ranked pass defense, Burrow should get back on track this week. We have seen he is capable of responding to bad games by learning from his mistakes and what the defense did to beat him. Washington’s pass defense has also relied heavily on their pass rush to get to the quarterback early, which is something the Bengals offensive line hasn’t struggled as much with when they aren’t forced into passing situations. Their past two games has seen some of the backup offensive linemen and new additions step up in a big way, and if they are allowed the chance to meld in with the returning starters then Cincinnati may actually have a pretty decent looking offensive line.

Defensively, the Bengals will have an interesting time trying to stop this Washington offense. Rookie running back Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic have been used a ton in the passing game, and that has really been helped with Smith taking over as the starter. It should really be a test for these young linebackers to make sure they don’t miss any assignments.

This is a game that feels like the Bengals get out to an early lead, but then have to fend off a late comeback attempt. Burrow doesn’t allow Cincinnati to lose the lead. He helps put a drive together late puts the comeback attempt out of reach, and Cincinnati gets their first road win of the Zac Taylor era.

Bengals 34 - Washington 24